season, week 6

This week's games

Not a betting line.Every score, yard total and percentage here is this site's own projection, built from its power index and its game simulator. They are estimates for fun and for talking football, and they will miss.

If bowl season started today Play out the season This week's games

The site works these out ahead of time, about every 12 hours, not each time the page is opened. A game's projection is locked the moment it kicks off, so the record of picks below is what was said before each game. Last worked out Oct 10, 15:51 UTC.

18 of 24 picks right this week Score margin off by 11.6 a game 58 games

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Tuesday, October 6

Final Southern Miss Troy No pick was made before kickoff Final 34-55

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This game kicked off before a projection was stored for it, so there is no pick to grade.

Compare these two teams

Wednesday, October 7

Final YdsPts Jacksonville State 457 29 Kennesaw State 359 18 Jacksonville State 80% Final 27-26, pick right

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Jacksonville State Scores 27.4 a game, allows 21.8

29 18

Kennesaw State Scores 21.8 a game, allows 22.5

Jacksonville State wins 80% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 33% were decided by 7 or fewer and 26% by 21 or more. The real game ended Jacksonville State 27, Kennesaw State 26.

How the projection did

RightJacksonville State won

27-26final, projected 29-18

10points off on the margin

6points off on the total (53 scored, 47 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Jacksonville State

Offense

Points29

Total yards457

Rushing yards190

Passing yards267

Yards per play6.9

First downs27

Turnovers1.2

Defense

Points allowed18

Yards allowed359

Rushing allowed184

Passing allowed174

Yards per play allowed5.8

First downs allowed22

Takeaways0.9

Kennesaw State

Offense

Points18

Total yards359

Rushing yards184

Passing yards174

Yards per play5.8

First downs22

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed29

Yards allowed457

Rushing allowed190

Passing allowed267

Yards per play allowed6.9

First downs allowed27

Takeaways1.2

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts New Mexico State 302 17 Florida International 358 27 Florida International 79% Final 3-22, pick right

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New Mexico State Scores 27.8 a game, allows 26.4

17 27

Florida International Scores 18.0 a game, allows 14.5

Florida International wins 79% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 40% were decided by 7 or fewer and 15% by 21 or more. The real game ended New Mexico State 3, Florida International 22.

How the projection did

RightFlorida International won

3-22final, projected 17-27

9points off on the margin

19points off on the total (25 scored, 44 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

New Mexico State

Offense

Points17

Total yards302

Rushing yards124

Passing yards178

Yards per play4.8

First downs17

Turnovers1.1

Defense

Points allowed27

Yards allowed358

Rushing allowed119

Passing allowed240

Yards per play allowed5.3

First downs allowed20

Takeaways1.4

Florida International

Offense

Points27

Total yards358

Rushing yards119

Passing yards240

Yards per play5.3

First downs20

Turnovers1.4

Defense

Points allowed17

Yards allowed302

Rushing allowed124

Passing allowed178

Yards per play allowed4.8

First downs allowed17

Takeaways1.1

Compare these two teams

Thursday, October 8

Final YdsPts Sam Houston 331 20 Liberty 402 30 Liberty 79% Final 3-35, pick right

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Sam Houston Scores 27.8 a game, allows 24.0

20 30

Liberty Scores 30.4 a game, allows 17.8

Liberty wins 79% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 34% were decided by 7 or fewer and 25% by 21 or more. The real game ended Sam Houston 3, Liberty 35.

How the projection did

RightLiberty won

3-35final, projected 20-30

22points off on the margin

12points off on the total (38 scored, 50 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Sam Houston

Offense

Points20

Total yards331

Rushing yards100

Passing yards231

Yards per play5.4

First downs18

Turnovers1.4

Defense

Points allowed30

Yards allowed402

Rushing allowed256

Passing allowed146

Yards per play allowed5.8

First downs allowed22

Takeaways1.0

Liberty

Offense

Points30

Total yards402

Rushing yards256

Passing yards146

Yards per play5.8

First downs22

Turnovers1.0

Defense

Points allowed20

Yards allowed331

Rushing allowed100

Passing allowed231

Yards per play allowed5.4

First downs allowed18

Takeaways1.4

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Missouri State 356 29 Western Kentucky 377 30 Western Kentucky 50% Final 13-34, pick right

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Missouri State Scores 24.0 a game, allows 32.0

29 30

Western Kentucky Scores 19.8 a game, allows 39.6

Western Kentucky wins 50% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 44% were decided by 7 or fewer and 15% by 21 or more. The real game ended Missouri State 13, Western Kentucky 34.

How the projection did

RightWestern Kentucky won

13-34final, projected 29-30

20points off on the margin

12points off on the total (47 scored, 59 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Missouri State

Offense

Points29

Total yards356

Rushing yards175

Passing yards181

Yards per play5.9

First downs18

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed30

Yards allowed377

Rushing allowed125

Passing allowed253

Yards per play allowed5.7

First downs allowed22

Takeaways1.2

Western Kentucky

Offense

Points30

Total yards377

Rushing yards125

Passing yards253

Yards per play5.7

First downs22

Turnovers1.2

Defense

Points allowed29

Yards allowed356

Rushing allowed175

Passing allowed181

Yards per play allowed5.9

First downs allowed18

Takeaways0.8

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts South Florida 380 24 UTSA 354 25 UTSA 53% Final 24-31, pick right

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South Florida Scores 26.6 a game, allows 14.6

24 25

UTSA Scores 31.4 a game, allows 26.2

UTSA wins 53% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 40% were decided by 7 or fewer and 16% by 21 or more. The real game ended South Florida 24, UTSA 31.

How the projection did

RightUTSA won

24-31final, projected 24-25

6points off on the margin

6points off on the total (55 scored, 49 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

South Florida

Offense

Points24

Total yards380

Rushing yards190

Passing yards190

Yards per play5.8

First downs23

Turnovers0.7

Defense

Points allowed25

Yards allowed354

Rushing allowed151

Passing allowed202

Yards per play allowed5.6

First downs allowed20

Takeaways0.8

UTSA

Offense

Points25

Total yards354

Rushing yards151

Passing yards202

Yards per play5.6

First downs20

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed24

Yards allowed380

Rushing allowed190

Passing allowed190

Yards per play allowed5.8

First downs allowed23

Takeaways0.7

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts South Alabama 446 25 Arkansas State 422 32 Arkansas State 72% Final 56-49, pick wrong

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South Alabama Scores 35.4 a game, allows 31.6

25 32

Arkansas State Scores 24.0 a game, allows 23.4

Arkansas State wins 72% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 44% were decided by 7 or fewer and 18% by 21 or more. The real game ended South Alabama 56, Arkansas State 49.

How the projection did

WrongSouth Alabama won

56-49final, projected 25-32

14points off on the margin

48points off on the total (105 scored, 57 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

South Alabama

Offense

Points25

Total yards446

Rushing yards186

Passing yards260

Yards per play6.6

First downs24

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed32

Yards allowed422

Rushing allowed195

Passing allowed227

Yards per play allowed6.9

First downs allowed22

Takeaways1.2

Arkansas State

Offense

Points32

Total yards422

Rushing yards195

Passing yards227

Yards per play6.9

First downs22

Turnovers1.2

Defense

Points allowed25

Yards allowed446

Rushing allowed186

Passing allowed260

Yards per play allowed6.6

First downs allowed24

Takeaways0.8

Compare these two teams

Friday, October 9

Final YdsPts Florida State 388 27 Louisville 435 34 Louisville 71% Final 20-44, pick right

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Florida State Scores 33.2 a game, allows 21.6

27 34

Louisville Scores 38.6 a game, allows 29.2

Louisville wins 71% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 39% were decided by 7 or fewer and 22% by 21 or more. The real game ended Florida State 20, Louisville 44.

How the projection did

RightLouisville won

20-44final, projected 27-34

17points off on the margin

3points off on the total (64 scored, 61 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Florida State

Offense

Points27

Total yards388

Rushing yards162

Passing yards226

Yards per play6.2

First downs19

Turnovers1.3

Defense

Points allowed34

Yards allowed435

Rushing allowed188

Passing allowed247

Yards per play allowed6.6

First downs allowed23

Takeaways0.6

Louisville

Offense

Points34

Total yards435

Rushing yards188

Passing yards247

Yards per play6.6

First downs23

Turnovers0.6

Defense

Points allowed27

Yards allowed388

Rushing allowed162

Passing allowed226

Yards per play allowed6.2

First downs allowed19

Takeaways1.3

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Iowa 386 22 Washington 346 21 Iowa 54% Final 41-24, pick right

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Iowa Scores 29.0 a game, allows 12.6

22 21

Washington Scores 26.6 a game, allows 18.4

Iowa wins 54% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 46% were decided by 7 or fewer and 13% by 21 or more. The real game ended Iowa 41, Washington 24.

How the projection did

RightIowa won

41-24final, projected 22-21

16points off on the margin

22points off on the total (65 scored, 43 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Iowa

Offense

Points22

Total yards386

Rushing yards167

Passing yards219

Yards per play5.7

First downs22

Turnovers1.2

Defense

Points allowed21

Yards allowed346

Rushing allowed91

Passing allowed255

Yards per play allowed5.4

First downs allowed17

Takeaways0.9

Washington

Offense

Points21

Total yards346

Rushing yards91

Passing yards255

Yards per play5.4

First downs17

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed22

Yards allowed386

Rushing allowed167

Passing allowed219

Yards per play allowed5.7

First downs allowed22

Takeaways1.2

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Washington State 334 18 Utah State 289 23 Utah State 66% Final 16-17, pick right

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Washington State Scores 19.0 a game, allows 25.0

18 23

Utah State Scores 14.0 a game, allows 25.0

Utah State wins 66% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 41% were decided by 7 or fewer and 15% by 21 or more. The real game ended Washington State 16, Utah State 17.

How the projection did

RightUtah State won

16-17final, projected 18-23

4points off on the margin

8points off on the total (33 scored, 41 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Washington State

Offense

Points18

Total yards334

Rushing yards184

Passing yards149

Yards per play4.8

First downs20

Turnovers1.3

Defense

Points allowed23

Yards allowed289

Rushing allowed146

Passing allowed144

Yards per play allowed4.9

First downs allowed15

Takeaways1.5

Utah State

Offense

Points23

Total yards289

Rushing yards146

Passing yards144

Yards per play4.9

First downs15

Turnovers1.5

Defense

Points allowed18

Yards allowed334

Rushing allowed184

Passing allowed149

Yards per play allowed4.8

First downs allowed20

Takeaways1.3

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Wyoming 379 19 San José State 373 23 San José State 65% Final 16-13, pick wrong

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Wyoming Scores 14.2 a game, allows 22.0

19 23

San José State Scores 22.6 a game, allows 25.0

San José State wins 65% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 45% were decided by 7 or fewer and 15% by 21 or more. The real game ended Wyoming 16, San José State 13.

How the projection did

WrongWyoming won

16-13final, projected 19-23

7points off on the margin

13points off on the total (29 scored, 42 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Wyoming

Offense

Points19

Total yards379

Rushing yards215

Passing yards164

Yards per play5.6

First downs24

Turnovers1.2

Defense

Points allowed23

Yards allowed373

Rushing allowed164

Passing allowed209

Yards per play allowed5.9

First downs allowed22

Takeaways0.9

San José State

Offense

Points23

Total yards373

Rushing yards164

Passing yards209

Yards per play5.9

First downs22

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed19

Yards allowed379

Rushing allowed215

Passing allowed164

Yards per play allowed5.6

First downs allowed24

Takeaways1.2

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Iowa State 289 12 BYU 450 41 BYU 98% Final 10-24, pick right

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Iowa State Scores 33.6 a game, allows 21.2

12 41

BYU Scores 37.2 a game, allows 14.2

BYU wins 98% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 18% were decided by 7 or fewer and 50% by 21 or more. The real game ended Iowa State 10, BYU 24.

How the projection did

RightBYU won

10-24final, projected 12-41

15points off on the margin

19points off on the total (34 scored, 53 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Iowa State

Offense

Points12

Total yards289

Rushing yards121

Passing yards168

Yards per play4.8

First downs15

Turnovers1.1

Defense

Points allowed41

Yards allowed450

Rushing allowed263

Passing allowed187

Yards per play allowed6.7

First downs allowed24

Takeaways0.8

BYU

Offense

Points41

Total yards450

Rushing yards263

Passing yards187

Yards per play6.7

First downs24

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed12

Yards allowed289

Rushing allowed121

Passing allowed168

Yards per play allowed4.8

First downs allowed15

Takeaways1.1

Compare these two teams

Saturday, October 10

Final YdsPts Texas A&M 299 18 Missouri 394 36 Missouri 91% Final 6-27, pick right

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Texas A&M Scores 31.8 a game, allows 18.6

18 36

Missouri Scores 37.6 a game, allows 20.0

Missouri wins 91% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 38% were decided by 7 or fewer and 21% by 21 or more. The real game ended Texas A&M 6, Missouri 27.

How the projection did

RightMissouri won

6-27final, projected 18-36

3points off on the margin

21points off on the total (33 scored, 54 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Texas A&M

Offense

Points18

Total yards299

Rushing yards111

Passing yards188

Yards per play4.7

First downs18

Turnovers1.2

Defense

Points allowed36

Yards allowed394

Rushing allowed126

Passing allowed269

Yards per play allowed5.8

First downs allowed20

Takeaways1.0

Missouri

Offense

Points36

Total yards394

Rushing yards126

Passing yards269

Yards per play5.8

First downs20

Turnovers1.0

Defense

Points allowed18

Yards allowed299

Rushing allowed111

Passing allowed188

Yards per play allowed4.7

First downs allowed18

Takeaways1.2

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Arizona 489 37 West Virginia 323 20 Arizona 90% Final 52-31, pick right

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Arizona Scores 32.4 a game, allows 16.6

37 20

West Virginia Scores 37.4 a game, allows 28.8

Arizona wins 90% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 22% were decided by 7 or fewer and 46% by 21 or more. The real game ended Arizona 52, West Virginia 31.

How the projection did

RightArizona won

52-31final, projected 37-20

4points off on the margin

26points off on the total (83 scored, 57 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Arizona

Offense

Points37

Total yards489

Rushing yards186

Passing yards304

Yards per play7.3

First downs27

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed20

Yards allowed323

Rushing allowed184

Passing allowed139

Yards per play allowed5.6

First downs allowed16

Takeaways0.4

West Virginia

Offense

Points20

Total yards323

Rushing yards184

Passing yards139

Yards per play5.6

First downs16

Turnovers0.4

Defense

Points allowed37

Yards allowed489

Rushing allowed186

Passing allowed304

Yards per play allowed7.3

First downs allowed27

Takeaways0.9

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts UCF 310 24 Oklahoma State 347 30 Oklahoma State 69% Final 28-42, pick right

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UCF Scores 32.4 a game, allows 17.6

24 30

Oklahoma State Scores 37.2 a game, allows 19.8

Oklahoma State wins 69% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 40% were decided by 7 or fewer and 14% by 21 or more. The real game ended UCF 28, Oklahoma State 42.

How the projection did

RightOklahoma State won

28-42final, projected 24-30

8points off on the margin

16points off on the total (70 scored, 54 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

UCF

Offense

Points24

Total yards310

Rushing yards149

Passing yards161

Yards per play4.9

First downs17

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed30

Yards allowed347

Rushing allowed114

Passing allowed232

Yards per play allowed5.2

First downs allowed18

Takeaways1.8

Oklahoma State

Offense

Points30

Total yards347

Rushing yards114

Passing yards232

Yards per play5.2

First downs18

Turnovers1.8

Defense

Points allowed24

Yards allowed310

Rushing allowed149

Passing allowed161

Yards per play allowed4.9

First downs allowed17

Takeaways0.8

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts North Carolina 330 14 Pittsburgh 451 34 Pittsburgh 93% Final 21-17, pick wrong

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North Carolina Scores 24.0 a game, allows 19.5

14 34

Pittsburgh Scores 38.4 a game, allows 13.4

Pittsburgh wins 93% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 26% were decided by 7 or fewer and 38% by 21 or more. The real game ended North Carolina 21, Pittsburgh 17.

How the projection did

WrongNorth Carolina won

21-17final, projected 14-34

24points off on the margin

10points off on the total (38 scored, 48 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

North Carolina

Offense

Points14

Total yards330

Rushing yards103

Passing yards227

Yards per play5.2

First downs20

Turnovers1.5

Defense

Points allowed34

Yards allowed451

Rushing allowed210

Passing allowed242

Yards per play allowed6.5

First downs allowed25

Takeaways0.7

Pittsburgh

Offense

Points34

Total yards451

Rushing yards210

Passing yards242

Yards per play6.5

First downs25

Turnovers0.7

Defense

Points allowed14

Yards allowed330

Rushing allowed103

Passing allowed227

Yards per play allowed5.2

First downs allowed20

Takeaways1.5

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Wake Forest 403 35 NC State 415 26 Wake Forest 75% Final 38-14, pick right

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Wake Forest Scores 36.6 a game, allows 23.0

35 26

NC State Scores 36.8 a game, allows 25.6

Wake Forest wins 75% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 48% were decided by 7 or fewer and 15% by 21 or more. The real game ended Wake Forest 38, NC State 14.

How the projection did

RightWake Forest won

38-14final, projected 35-26

15points off on the margin

9points off on the total (52 scored, 61 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Wake Forest

Offense

Points35

Total yards403

Rushing yards154

Passing yards249

Yards per play6.7

First downs21

Turnovers1.0

Defense

Points allowed26

Yards allowed415

Rushing allowed148

Passing allowed268

Yards per play allowed6.0

First downs allowed24

Takeaways0.9

NC State

Offense

Points26

Total yards415

Rushing yards148

Passing yards268

Yards per play6.0

First downs24

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed35

Yards allowed403

Rushing allowed154

Passing allowed249

Yards per play allowed6.7

First downs allowed21

Takeaways1.0

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Indiana 341 29 Nebraska 368 28 Indiana 54% Final 20-17, pick right

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Indiana Scores 44.2 a game, allows 10.8

29 28

Nebraska Scores 43.6 a game, allows 14.2

Indiana wins 54% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 43% were decided by 7 or fewer and 15% by 21 or more. The real game ended Indiana 20, Nebraska 17.

How the projection did

RightIndiana won

20-17final, projected 29-28

2points off on the margin

20points off on the total (37 scored, 57 projected)

	Indiana		Nebraska
	Projected	Real	Projected	Real
Total yards	341	328	368	390
Rushing yards	154	65	155	128
Passing yards	187	263	213	262
First downs	18	13	21	25
Turnovers	0.7	0	0.6	1

Indiana

Offense

Points29

Total yards341

Rushing yards154

Passing yards187

Yards per play5.7

First downs18

Turnovers0.7

Defense

Points allowed28

Yards allowed368

Rushing allowed155

Passing allowed213

Yards per play allowed5.6

First downs allowed21

Takeaways0.6

Nebraska

Offense

Points28

Total yards368

Rushing yards155

Passing yards213

Yards per play5.6

First downs21

Turnovers0.6

Defense

Points allowed29

Yards allowed341

Rushing allowed154

Passing allowed187

Yards per play allowed5.7

First downs allowed18

Takeaways0.7

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Tulane 339 21 Army 461 27 Army 69% Final 17-20, pick right

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Tulane Scores 18.8 a game, allows 23.2

21 27

Army Scores 33.2 a game, allows 19.8

Army wins 69% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 32% were decided by 7 or fewer and 26% by 21 or more. The real game ended Tulane 17, Army 20.

How the projection did

RightArmy won

17-20final, projected 21-27

3points off on the margin

11points off on the total (37 scored, 48 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Tulane

Offense

Points21

Total yards339

Rushing yards165

Passing yards174

Yards per play6.3

First downs14

Turnovers0.4

Defense

Points allowed27

Yards allowed461

Rushing allowed301

Passing allowed159

Yards per play allowed6.4

First downs allowed26

Takeaways0.5

Army

Offense

Points27

Total yards461

Rushing yards301

Passing yards159

Yards per play6.4

First downs26

Turnovers0.5

Defense

Points allowed21

Yards allowed339

Rushing allowed165

Passing allowed174

Yards per play allowed6.3

First downs allowed14

Takeaways0.4

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Sacramento State 370 20 Bowling Green 327 25 Bowling Green 66% Final 10-38, pick right

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Sacramento State Scores 17.6 a game, allows 28.6

20 25

Bowling Green Scores 11.4 a game, allows 33.0

Bowling Green wins 66% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 40% were decided by 7 or fewer and 18% by 21 or more. The real game ended Sacramento State 10, Bowling Green 38.

How the projection did

RightBowling Green won

10-38final, projected 20-25

23points off on the margin

3points off on the total (48 scored, 45 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Sacramento State

Offense

Points20

Total yards370

Rushing yards193

Passing yards177

Yards per play5.6

First downs21

Turnovers1.3

Defense

Points allowed25

Yards allowed327

Rushing allowed104

Passing allowed223

Yards per play allowed5.2

First downs allowed16

Takeaways0.8

Bowling Green

Offense

Points25

Total yards327

Rushing yards104

Passing yards223

Yards per play5.2

First downs16

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed20

Yards allowed370

Rushing allowed193

Passing allowed177

Yards per play allowed5.6

First downs allowed21

Takeaways1.3

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Ball State 350 12 Northwestern 474 41 Northwestern 98% Final 14-45, pick right

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Ball State Scores 19.2 a game, allows 37.8

12 41

Northwestern Scores 33.0 a game, allows 16.8

Northwestern wins 98% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 25% were decided by 7 or fewer and 38% by 21 or more. The real game ended Ball State 14, Northwestern 45.

How the projection did

RightNorthwestern won

14-45final, projected 12-41

2points off on the margin

6points off on the total (59 scored, 53 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Ball State

Offense

Points12

Total yards350

Rushing yards162

Passing yards188

Yards per play5.5

First downs19

Turnovers1.0

Defense

Points allowed41

Yards allowed474

Rushing allowed238

Passing allowed236

Yards per play allowed7.2

First downs allowed25

Takeaways0.7

Northwestern

Offense

Points41

Total yards474

Rushing yards238

Passing yards236

Yards per play7.2

First downs25

Turnovers0.7

Defense

Points allowed12

Yards allowed350

Rushing allowed162

Passing allowed188

Yards per play allowed5.5

First downs allowed19

Takeaways1.0

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts South Carolina 402 28 Florida 447 41 Florida 84% Final 38-19, pick wrong

Replay it in the game tracker

South Carolina Scores 37.6 a game, allows 26.8

28 41

Florida Scores 46.2 a game, allows 27.2

Florida wins 84% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 39% were decided by 7 or fewer and 23% by 21 or more. The real game ended South Carolina 38, Florida 19.

How the projection did

WrongSouth Carolina won

38-19final, projected 28-41

32points off on the margin

12points off on the total (57 scored, 69 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

South Carolina

Offense

Points28

Total yards402

Rushing yards210

Passing yards192

Yards per play6.1

First downs22

Turnovers1.2

Defense

Points allowed41

Yards allowed447

Rushing allowed157

Passing allowed290

Yards per play allowed7.1

First downs allowed22

Takeaways0.5

Florida

Offense

Points41

Total yards447

Rushing yards157

Passing yards290

Yards per play7.1

First downs22

Turnovers0.5

Defense

Points allowed28

Yards allowed402

Rushing allowed210

Passing allowed192

Yards per play allowed6.1

First downs allowed22

Takeaways1.2

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Old Dominion 280 22 App State 364 33 App State 80% Final 10-3, pick wrong

Replay it in the game tracker

Old Dominion Scores 19.8 a game, allows 32.4

22 33

App State Scores 34.8 a game, allows 22.2

App State wins 80% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 33% were decided by 7 or fewer and 25% by 21 or more. The real game ended Old Dominion 10, App State 3.

How the projection did

WrongOld Dominion won

10-3final, projected 22-33

18points off on the margin

42points off on the total (13 scored, 55 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Old Dominion

Offense

Points22

Total yards280

Rushing yards142

Passing yards138

Yards per play4.7

First downs16

Turnovers1.4

Defense

Points allowed33

Yards allowed364

Rushing allowed97

Passing allowed267

Yards per play allowed5.3

First downs allowed21

Takeaways0.7

App State

Offense

Points33

Total yards364

Rushing yards97

Passing yards267

Yards per play5.3

First downs21

Turnovers0.7

Defense

Points allowed22

Yards allowed280

Rushing allowed142

Passing allowed138

Yards per play allowed4.7

First downs allowed16

Takeaways1.4

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Miami (OH) 355 26 Massachusetts 401 27 Massachusetts 53% Final 20-19, pick wrong

Replay it in the game tracker

Miami (OH) Scores 26.8 a game, allows 29.2

26 27

Massachusetts Scores 31.8 a game, allows 17.8

Massachusetts wins 53% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 42% were decided by 7 or fewer and 18% by 21 or more. The real game ended Miami (OH) 20, Massachusetts 19.

How the projection did

WrongMiami (OH) won

20-19final, projected 26-27

2points off on the margin

14points off on the total (39 scored, 53 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Miami (OH)

Offense

Points26

Total yards355

Rushing yards94

Passing yards262

Yards per play5.9

First downs19

Turnovers1.1

Defense

Points allowed27

Yards allowed401

Rushing allowed205

Passing allowed196

Yards per play allowed6.0

First downs allowed22

Takeaways0.7

Massachusetts

Offense

Points27

Total yards401

Rushing yards205

Passing yards196

Yards per play6.0

First downs22

Turnovers0.7

Defense

Points allowed26

Yards allowed355

Rushing allowed94

Passing allowed262

Yards per play allowed5.9

First downs allowed19

Takeaways1.1

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 14:48 · Neutral site YdsPts Texas 303 24 Oklahoma 264 18 Texas 69% Live 17-17

Follow it live in the game tracker

Texas Scores 33.2 a game, allows 13.2

24 18

Oklahoma Scores 22.0 a game, allows 16.0

Texas wins 69% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 44% were decided by 7 or fewer and 14% by 21 or more.

Texas

Offense

Points24

Total yards303

Rushing yards141

Passing yards162

Yards per play4.6

First downs18

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed18

Yards allowed264

Rushing allowed83

Passing allowed181

Yards per play allowed4.1

First downs allowed15

Takeaways1.4

Oklahoma

Offense

Points18

Total yards264

Rushing yards83

Passing yards181

Yards per play4.1

First downs15

Turnovers1.4

Defense

Points allowed24

Yards allowed303

Rushing allowed141

Passing allowed162

Yards per play allowed4.6

First downs allowed18

Takeaways0.9

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 11:46 YdsPts Ole Miss 443 32 Vanderbilt 407 26 Ole Miss 70% Live 45-10

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Ole Miss Scores 35.5 a game, allows 30.8

32 26

Vanderbilt Scores 25.4 a game, allows 25.0

Ole Miss wins 70% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 42% were decided by 7 or fewer and 21% by 21 or more.

Ole Miss

Offense

Points32

Total yards443

Rushing yards155

Passing yards288

Yards per play6.9

First downs25

Turnovers1.0

Defense

Points allowed26

Yards allowed407

Rushing allowed156

Passing allowed250

Yards per play allowed6.2

First downs allowed22

Takeaways1.1

Vanderbilt

Offense

Points26

Total yards407

Rushing yards156

Passing yards250

Yards per play6.2

First downs22

Turnovers1.1

Defense

Points allowed32

Yards allowed443

Rushing allowed155

Passing allowed288

Yards per play allowed6.9

First downs allowed25

Takeaways1.0

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 9:41 YdsPts Houston 412 33 Kansas State 402 26 Houston 72% Live 35-9

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Houston Scores 41.0 a game, allows 19.8

33 26

Kansas State Scores 40.5 a game, allows 15.2

Houston wins 72% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 39% were decided by 7 or fewer and 20% by 21 or more.

Houston

Offense

Points33

Total yards412

Rushing yards219

Passing yards193

Yards per play6.7

First downs22

Turnovers0.6

Defense

Points allowed26

Yards allowed402

Rushing allowed180

Passing allowed221

Yards per play allowed6.1

First downs allowed21

Takeaways1.2

Kansas State

Offense

Points26

Total yards402

Rushing yards180

Passing yards221

Yards per play6.1

First downs21

Turnovers1.2

Defense

Points allowed33

Yards allowed412

Rushing allowed219

Passing allowed193

Yards per play allowed6.7

First downs allowed22

Takeaways0.6

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 2:40 YdsPts Duke 426 31 Georgia Tech 346 19 Duke 82% Live 25-21

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Duke Scores 36.2 a game, allows 11.0

31 19

Georgia Tech Scores 27.0 a game, allows 26.0

Duke wins 82% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 35% were decided by 7 or fewer and 26% by 21 or more.

Duke

Offense

Points31

Total yards426

Rushing yards204

Passing yards222

Yards per play6.6

First downs23

Turnovers0.4

Defense

Points allowed19

Yards allowed346

Rushing allowed130

Passing allowed216

Yards per play allowed5.4

First downs allowed20

Takeaways1.0

Georgia Tech

Offense

Points19

Total yards346

Rushing yards130

Passing yards216

Yards per play5.4

First downs20

Turnovers1.0

Defense

Points allowed31

Yards allowed426

Rushing allowed204

Passing allowed222

Yards per play allowed6.6

First downs allowed23

Takeaways0.4

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 3:00 YdsPts Stanford 267 6 Notre Dame 577 49 Notre Dame >99% Live 7-58

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Stanford Scores 17.4 a game, allows 38.2

6 49

Notre Dame Scores 41.2 a game, allows 11.8

Notre Dame wins >99% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 2% were decided by 7 or fewer and 88% by 21 or more.

Stanford

Offense

Points6

Total yards267

Rushing yards69

Passing yards198

Yards per play4.8

First downs14

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed49

Yards allowed577

Rushing allowed244

Passing allowed333

Yards per play allowed8.1

First downs allowed33

Takeaways0.4

Notre Dame

Offense

Points49

Total yards577

Rushing yards244

Passing yards333

Yards per play8.1

First downs33

Turnovers0.4

Defense

Points allowed6

Yards allowed267

Rushing allowed69

Passing allowed198

Yards per play allowed4.8

First downs allowed14

Takeaways0.8

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 3:59 YdsPts Virginia Tech 424 35 California 336 23 Virginia Tech 83% Live 14-19

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Virginia Tech Scores 41.2 a game, allows 19.8

35 23

California Scores 27.0 a game, allows 26.6

Virginia Tech wins 83% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 35% were decided by 7 or fewer and 24% by 21 or more.

Virginia Tech

Offense

Points35

Total yards424

Rushing yards206

Passing yards219

Yards per play6.3

First downs21

Turnovers1.1

Defense

Points allowed23

Yards allowed336

Rushing allowed107

Passing allowed229

Yards per play allowed5.4

First downs allowed17

Takeaways0.8

California

Offense

Points23

Total yards336

Rushing yards107

Passing yards229

Yards per play5.4

First downs17

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed35

Yards allowed424

Rushing allowed206

Passing allowed219

Yards per play allowed6.3

First downs allowed21

Takeaways1.1

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 7:47 YdsPts Illinois 379 22 Michigan State 435 27 Michigan State 67% Live 31-24

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Illinois Scores 30.6 a game, allows 26.0

22 27

Michigan State Scores 18.2 a game, allows 23.2

Michigan State wins 67% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 41% were decided by 7 or fewer and 21% by 21 or more.

Illinois

Offense

Points22

Total yards379

Rushing yards140

Passing yards239

Yards per play6.2

First downs20

Turnovers0.7

Defense

Points allowed27

Yards allowed435

Rushing allowed190

Passing allowed246

Yards per play allowed6.4

First downs allowed26

Takeaways0.5

Michigan State

Offense

Points27

Total yards435

Rushing yards190

Passing yards246

Yards per play6.4

First downs26

Turnovers0.5

Defense

Points allowed22

Yards allowed379

Rushing allowed140

Passing allowed239

Yards per play allowed6.2

First downs allowed20

Takeaways0.7

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 11:21 YdsPts UCLA 419 35 Oregon 350 32 UCLA 59% Live 17-6

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UCLA Scores 44.8 a game, allows 18.8

35 32

Oregon Scores 47.5 a game, allows 23.2

UCLA wins 59% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 34% were decided by 7 or fewer and 26% by 21 or more.

UCLA

Offense

Points35

Total yards419

Rushing yards260

Passing yards159

Yards per play6.1

First downs23

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed32

Yards allowed350

Rushing allowed88

Passing allowed263

Yards per play allowed5.8

First downs allowed16

Takeaways1.2

Oregon

Offense

Points32

Total yards350

Rushing yards88

Passing yards263

Yards per play5.8

First downs16

Turnovers1.2

Defense

Points allowed35

Yards allowed419

Rushing allowed260

Passing allowed159

Yards per play allowed6.1

First downs allowed23

Takeaways0.9

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 1:17 YdsPts Charlotte 308 17 North Texas 499 49 North Texas 98% Live 10-50

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Charlotte Scores 17.2 a game, allows 40.6

17 49

North Texas Scores 40.6 a game, allows 33.0

North Texas wins 98% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 13% were decided by 7 or fewer and 62% by 21 or more.

Charlotte

Offense

Points17

Total yards308

Rushing yards110

Passing yards197

Yards per play5.1

First downs16

Turnovers1.5

Defense

Points allowed49

Yards allowed499

Rushing allowed192

Passing allowed307

Yards per play allowed7.3

First downs allowed28

Takeaways0.5

North Texas

Offense

Points49

Total yards499

Rushing yards192

Passing yards307

Yards per play7.3

First downs28

Turnovers0.5

Defense

Points allowed17

Yards allowed308

Rushing allowed110

Passing allowed197

Yards per play allowed5.1

First downs allowed16

Takeaways1.5

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 1:10 YdsPts Tulsa 351 23 Navy 299 26 Navy 61% Live 26-34

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Tulsa Scores 27.8 a game, allows 21.2

23 26

Navy Scores 25.2 a game, allows 22.8

Navy wins 61% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 39% were decided by 7 or fewer and 18% by 21 or more.

Tulsa

Offense

Points23

Total yards351

Rushing yards135

Passing yards215

Yards per play5.2

First downs20

Turnovers1.0

Defense

Points allowed26

Yards allowed299

Rushing allowed211

Passing allowed89

Yards per play allowed5.0

First downs allowed16

Takeaways1.0

Navy

Offense

Points26

Total yards299

Rushing yards211

Passing yards89

Yards per play5.0

First downs16

Turnovers1.0

Defense

Points allowed23

Yards allowed351

Rushing allowed135

Passing allowed215

Yards per play allowed5.2

First downs allowed20

Takeaways1.0

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 2:00 YdsPts Eastern Michigan 419 27 Akron 397 23 Eastern Michigan 62% Live 22-23

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Eastern Michigan Scores 22.2 a game, allows 25.0

27 23

Akron Scores 19.0 a game, allows 33.6

Eastern Michigan wins 62% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 36% were decided by 7 or fewer and 22% by 21 or more.

Eastern Michigan

Offense

Points27

Total yards419

Rushing yards175

Passing yards244

Yards per play6.4

First downs21

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed23

Yards allowed397

Rushing allowed186

Passing allowed210

Yards per play allowed6.0

First downs allowed23

Takeaways1.4

Akron

Offense

Points23

Total yards397

Rushing yards186

Passing yards210

Yards per play6.0

First downs23

Turnovers1.4

Defense

Points allowed27

Yards allowed419

Rushing allowed175

Passing allowed244

Yards per play allowed6.4

First downs allowed21

Takeaways0.8

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 4:45 YdsPts Buffalo 290 17 Toledo 418 42 Toledo 96% Live 16-8

Follow it live in the game tracker

Buffalo Scores 20.4 a game, allows 30.6

17 42

Toledo Scores 42.4 a game, allows 25.6

Toledo wins 96% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 27% were decided by 7 or fewer and 33% by 21 or more.

Buffalo

Offense

Points17

Total yards290

Rushing yards163

Passing yards126

Yards per play4.7

First downs14

Turnovers0.6

Defense

Points allowed42

Yards allowed418

Rushing allowed168

Passing allowed251

Yards per play allowed6.1

First downs allowed21

Takeaways0.5

Toledo

Offense

Points42

Total yards418

Rushing yards168

Passing yards251

Yards per play6.1

First downs21

Turnovers0.5

Defense

Points allowed17

Yards allowed290

Rushing allowed163

Passing allowed126

Yards per play allowed4.7

First downs allowed14

Takeaways0.6

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 5:08 YdsPts Central Michigan 334 19 Ohio 422 29 Ohio 78% Live 14-31

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Central Michigan Scores 17.6 a game, allows 25.4

19 29

Ohio Scores 26.8 a game, allows 26.8

Ohio wins 78% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 31% were decided by 7 or fewer and 30% by 21 or more.

Central Michigan

Offense

Points19

Total yards334

Rushing yards219

Passing yards115

Yards per play5.4

First downs19

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed29

Yards allowed422

Rushing allowed266

Passing allowed155

Yards per play allowed6.3

First downs allowed26

Takeaways1.3

Ohio

Offense

Points29

Total yards422

Rushing yards266

Passing yards155

Yards per play6.3

First downs26

Turnovers1.3

Defense

Points allowed19

Yards allowed334

Rushing allowed219

Passing allowed115

Yards per play allowed5.4

First downs allowed19

Takeaways0.9

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 1:59 YdsPts Kent State 307 16 Western Michigan 394 29 Western Michigan 85% Live 7-38

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Kent State Scores 15.0 a game, allows 31.4

16 29

Western Michigan Scores 23.2 a game, allows 19.4

Western Michigan wins 85% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 35% were decided by 7 or fewer and 26% by 21 or more.

Kent State

Offense

Points16

Total yards307

Rushing yards118

Passing yards189

Yards per play5.0

First downs16

Turnovers1.0

Defense

Points allowed29

Yards allowed394

Rushing allowed219

Passing allowed175

Yards per play allowed5.8

First downs allowed24

Takeaways0.6

Western Michigan

Offense

Points29

Total yards394

Rushing yards219

Passing yards175

Yards per play5.8

First downs24

Turnovers0.6

Defense

Points allowed16

Yards allowed307

Rushing allowed118

Passing allowed189

Yards per play allowed5.0

First downs allowed16

Takeaways1.0

Compare these two teams

Live · Q4 9:38 YdsPts UConn 405 27 Temple 366 29 Temple 55% Live 24-20

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UConn Scores 36.0 a game, allows 26.2

27 29

Temple Scores 25.8 a game, allows 24.8

Temple wins 55% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 40% were decided by 7 or fewer and 18% by 21 or more.

UConn

Offense

Points27

Total yards405

Rushing yards166

Passing yards239

Yards per play6.1

First downs23

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed29

Yards allowed366

Rushing allowed180

Passing allowed186

Yards per play allowed6.0

First downs allowed18

Takeaways0.5

Temple

Offense

Points29

Total yards366

Rushing yards180

Passing yards186

Yards per play6.0

First downs18

Turnovers0.5

Defense

Points allowed27

Yards allowed405

Rushing allowed166

Passing allowed239

Yards per play allowed6.1

First downs allowed23

Takeaways0.8

Compare these two teams

Final YdsPts Rice 298 15 East Carolina 379 33 East Carolina 92% Final 12-28, pick right

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Rice Scores 18.0 a game, allows 27.4

15 33

East Carolina Scores 24.0 a game, allows 25.2

East Carolina wins 92% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 32% were decided by 7 or fewer and 25% by 21 or more. The real game ended Rice 12, East Carolina 28.

How the projection did

RightEast Carolina won

12-28final, projected 15-33

2points off on the margin

8points off on the total (40 scored, 48 projected)

The projected yards and first downs are compared with the real ones once this game's plays are pulled in.

Rice

Offense

Points15

Total yards298

Rushing yards206

Passing yards93

Yards per play4.7

First downs17

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed33

Yards allowed379

Rushing allowed189

Passing allowed190

Yards per play allowed6.1

First downs allowed19

Takeaways0.9

East Carolina

Offense

Points33

Total yards379

Rushing yards189

Passing yards190

Yards per play6.1

First downs19

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed15

Yards allowed298

Rushing allowed206

Passing allowed93

Yards per play allowed4.7

First downs allowed17

Takeaways0.8

Compare these two teams

Live · Q3 1:46 YdsPts Tennessee 385 34 Arkansas 302 16 Tennessee 91% Live 7-14

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Tennessee Scores 36.8 a game, allows 15.2

34 16

Arkansas Scores 19.8 a game, allows 28.4

Tennessee wins 91% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 28% were decided by 7 or fewer and 32% by 21 or more.

Tennessee

Offense

Points34

Total yards385

Rushing yards260

Passing yards125

Yards per play6.1

First downs22

Turnovers0.6

Defense

Points allowed16

Yards allowed302

Rushing allowed138

Passing allowed165

Yards per play allowed4.7

First downs allowed20

Takeaways1.4

Arkansas

Offense

Points16

Total yards302

Rushing yards138

Passing yards165

Yards per play4.7

First downs20

Turnovers1.4

Defense

Points allowed34

Yards allowed385

Rushing allowed260

Passing allowed125

Yards per play allowed6.1

First downs allowed22

Takeaways0.6

Compare these two teams

Live · Q3 6:23 YdsPts Maryland 303 16 Ohio State 478 42 Ohio State 97% Live 10-31

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Maryland Scores 30.4 a game, allows 30.2

16 42

Ohio State Scores 42.2 a game, allows 12.6

Ohio State wins 97% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 15% were decided by 7 or fewer and 53% by 21 or more.

Maryland

Offense

Points16

Total yards303

Rushing yards118

Passing yards185

Yards per play5.1

First downs17

Turnovers1.1

Defense

Points allowed42

Yards allowed478

Rushing allowed188

Passing allowed290

Yards per play allowed6.8

First downs allowed28

Takeaways0.6

Ohio State

Offense

Points42

Total yards478

Rushing yards188

Passing yards290

Yards per play6.8

First downs28

Turnovers0.6

Defense

Points allowed16

Yards allowed303

Rushing allowed118

Passing allowed185

Yards per play allowed5.1

First downs allowed17

Takeaways1.1

Compare these two teams

Live · Q1 3:40 YdsPts San Diego State 262 16 Oregon State 448 41 Oregon State 96% Live 0-14

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San Diego State Scores 24.6 a game, allows 28.8

16 41

Oregon State Scores 37.0 a game, allows 23.6

Oregon State wins 96% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 18% were decided by 7 or fewer and 51% by 21 or more.

San Diego State

Offense

Points16

Total yards262

Rushing yards138

Passing yards125

Yards per play4.6

First downs14

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed41

Yards allowed448

Rushing allowed153

Passing allowed295

Yards per play allowed6.2

First downs allowed26

Takeaways0.8

Oregon State

Offense

Points41

Total yards448

Rushing yards153

Passing yards295

Yards per play6.2

First downs26

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed16

Yards allowed262

Rushing allowed138

Passing allowed125

Yards per play allowed4.6

First downs allowed14

Takeaways0.9

Compare these two teams

YdsPts LSU 413 38 Kentucky 275 22 LSU 89% More

Open it in the game tracker

LSU Scores 43.6 a game, allows 15.2

38 22

Kentucky Scores 34.6 a game, allows 26.8

LSU wins 89% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 29% were decided by 7 or fewer and 29% by 21 or more.

LSU

Offense

Points38

Total yards413

Rushing yards190

Passing yards223

Yards per play6.1

First downs24

Turnovers1.6

Defense

Points allowed22

Yards allowed275

Rushing allowed127

Passing allowed148

Yards per play allowed4.6

First downs allowed16

Takeaways0.9

Kentucky

Offense

Points22

Total yards275

Rushing yards127

Passing yards148

Yards per play4.6

First downs16

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed38

Yards allowed413

Rushing allowed190

Passing allowed223

Yards per play allowed6.1

First downs allowed24

Takeaways1.6

Compare these two teams

YdsPts UAB 332 21 Memphis 397 33 Memphis 84% More

Open it in the game tracker

UAB Scores 24.0 a game, allows 23.4

21 33

Memphis Scores 38.6 a game, allows 22.4

Memphis wins 84% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 37% were decided by 7 or fewer and 22% by 21 or more.

UAB

Offense

Points21

Total yards332

Rushing yards205

Passing yards127

Yards per play5.4

First downs19

Turnovers1.0

Defense

Points allowed33

Yards allowed397

Rushing allowed212

Passing allowed185

Yards per play allowed6.2

First downs allowed21

Takeaways1.3

Memphis

Offense

Points33

Total yards397

Rushing yards212

Passing yards185

Yards per play6.2

First downs21

Turnovers1.3

Defense

Points allowed21

Yards allowed332

Rushing allowed205

Passing allowed127

Yards per play allowed5.4

First downs allowed19

Takeaways1.0

Compare these two teams

YdsPts Nevada 415 32 UTEP 325 23 Nevada 76% More

Open it in the game tracker

Nevada Scores 27.2 a game, allows 24.2

32 23

UTEP Scores 16.4 a game, allows 41.4

Nevada wins 76% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 37% were decided by 7 or fewer and 26% by 21 or more.

Nevada

Offense

Points32

Total yards415

Rushing yards195

Passing yards221

Yards per play6.3

First downs24

Turnovers1.4

Defense

Points allowed23

Yards allowed325

Rushing allowed176

Passing allowed149

Yards per play allowed5.4

First downs allowed20

Takeaways0.9

UTEP

Offense

Points23

Total yards325

Rushing yards176

Passing yards149

Yards per play5.4

First downs20

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed32

Yards allowed415

Rushing allowed195

Passing allowed221

Yards per play allowed6.3

First downs allowed24

Takeaways1.4

Compare these two teams

YdsPts North Dakota State 353 26 UNLV 290 20 North Dakota State 70% More

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North Dakota State Scores 33.6 a game, allows 9.8

26 20

UNLV Scores 25.0 a game, allows 23.6

North Dakota State wins 70% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 37% were decided by 7 or fewer and 20% by 21 or more.

North Dakota State

Offense

Points26

Total yards353

Rushing yards180

Passing yards173

Yards per play5.4

First downs19

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed20

Yards allowed290

Rushing allowed144

Passing allowed147

Yards per play allowed4.7

First downs allowed16

Takeaways1.3

UNLV

Offense

Points20

Total yards290

Rushing yards144

Passing yards147

Yards per play4.7

First downs16

Turnovers1.3

Defense

Points allowed26

Yards allowed353

Rushing allowed180

Passing allowed173

Yards per play allowed5.4

First downs allowed19

Takeaways0.8

Compare these two teams

YdsPts Coastal Carolina 423 26 Marshall 451 28 Marshall 58% More

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Coastal Carolina Scores 24.8 a game, allows 25.0

26 28

Marshall Scores 22.2 a game, allows 35.0

Marshall wins 58% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 42% were decided by 7 or fewer and 19% by 21 or more.

Coastal Carolina

Offense

Points26

Total yards423

Rushing yards189

Passing yards234

Yards per play6.7

First downs22

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed28

Yards allowed451

Rushing allowed195

Passing allowed256

Yards per play allowed6.8

First downs allowed25

Takeaways1.1

Marshall

Offense

Points28

Total yards451

Rushing yards195

Passing yards256

Yards per play6.8

First downs25

Turnovers1.1

Defense

Points allowed26

Yards allowed423

Rushing allowed189

Passing allowed234

Yards per play allowed6.7

First downs allowed22

Takeaways0.8

Compare these two teams

YdsPts Georgia 375 33 Alabama 380 34 Alabama 54% More

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Georgia Scores 51.4 a game, allows 13.4

33 34

Alabama Scores 49.6 a game, allows 20.8

Alabama wins 54% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 44% were decided by 7 or fewer and 16% by 21 or more.

Georgia

Offense

Points33

Total yards375

Rushing yards128

Passing yards246

Yards per play6.0

First downs19

Turnovers1.2

Defense

Points allowed34

Yards allowed380

Rushing allowed120

Passing allowed259

Yards per play allowed6.0

First downs allowed20

Takeaways1.1

Alabama

Offense

Points34

Total yards380

Rushing yards120

Passing yards259

Yards per play6.0

First downs20

Turnovers1.1

Defense

Points allowed33

Yards allowed375

Rushing allowed128

Passing allowed246

Yards per play allowed6.0

First downs allowed19

Takeaways1.2

Compare these two teams

YdsPts Syracuse 362 25 Virginia 382 30 Virginia 65% More

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Syracuse Scores 34.8 a game, allows 23.0

25 30

Virginia Scores 33.8 a game, allows 18.0

Virginia wins 65% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 34% were decided by 7 or fewer and 22% by 21 or more.

Syracuse

Offense

Points25

Total yards362

Rushing yards166

Passing yards196

Yards per play5.7

First downs19

Turnovers1.5

Defense

Points allowed30

Yards allowed382

Rushing allowed220

Passing allowed163

Yards per play allowed5.8

First downs allowed22

Takeaways0.6

Virginia

Offense

Points30

Total yards382

Rushing yards220

Passing yards163

Yards per play5.8

First downs22

Turnovers0.6

Defense

Points allowed25

Yards allowed362

Rushing allowed166

Passing allowed196

Yards per play allowed5.7

First downs allowed19

Takeaways1.5

Compare these two teams

YdsPts USC 435 30 Penn State 372 26 USC 62% More

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USC Scores 37.3 a game, allows 25.5

30 26

Penn State Scores 32.0 a game, allows 16.0

USC wins 62% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 41% were decided by 7 or fewer and 18% by 21 or more.

USC

Offense

Points30

Total yards435

Rushing yards202

Passing yards233

Yards per play6.5

First downs25

Turnovers1.1

Defense

Points allowed26

Yards allowed372

Rushing allowed105

Passing allowed267

Yards per play allowed6.0

First downs allowed19

Takeaways0.6

Penn State

Offense

Points26

Total yards372

Rushing yards105

Passing yards267

Yards per play6.0

First downs19

Turnovers0.6

Defense

Points allowed30

Yards allowed435

Rushing allowed202

Passing allowed233

Yards per play allowed6.5

First downs allowed25

Takeaways1.1

Compare these two teams

YdsPts Air Force 462 37 Northern Illinois 270 13 Air Force 96% More

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Air Force Scores 29.0 a game, allows 20.0

37 13

Northern Illinois Scores 13.8 a game, allows 36.2

Air Force wins 96% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 18% were decided by 7 or fewer and 54% by 21 or more.

Air Force

Offense

Points37

Total yards462

Rushing yards304

Passing yards158

Yards per play6.7

First downs26

Turnovers0.8

Defense

Points allowed13

Yards allowed270

Rushing allowed106

Passing allowed164

Yards per play allowed4.8

First downs allowed14

Takeaways1.1

Northern Illinois

Offense

Points13

Total yards270

Rushing yards106

Passing yards164

Yards per play4.8

First downs14

Turnovers1.1

Defense

Points allowed37

Yards allowed462

Rushing allowed304

Passing allowed158

Yards per play allowed6.7

First downs allowed26

Takeaways0.8

Compare these two teams

YdsPts James Madison 434 33 Georgia Southern 336 20 James Madison 84% More

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James Madison Scores 44.8 a game, allows 13.2

33 20

Georgia Southern Scores 24.8 a game, allows 23.8

James Madison wins 84% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 30% were decided by 7 or fewer and 27% by 21 or more.

James Madison

Offense

Points33

Total yards434

Rushing yards216

Passing yards218

Yards per play6.3

First downs25

Turnovers1.1

Defense

Points allowed20

Yards allowed336

Rushing allowed114

Passing allowed221

Yards per play allowed5.3

First downs allowed19

Takeaways0.9

Georgia Southern

Offense

Points20

Total yards336

Rushing yards114

Passing yards221

Yards per play5.3

First downs19

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed33

Yards allowed434

Rushing allowed216

Passing allowed218

Yards per play allowed6.3

First downs allowed25

Takeaways1.1

Compare these two teams

YdsPts Louisiana 336 29 Louisiana Tech 301 28 Louisiana 53% More

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Louisiana Scores 29.2 a game, allows 19.4

29 28

Louisiana Tech Scores 36.0 a game, allows 29.0

Louisiana wins 53% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 46% were decided by 7 or fewer and 14% by 21 or more.

Louisiana

Offense

Points29

Total yards336

Rushing yards152

Passing yards184

Yards per play5.2

First downs18

Turnovers1.3

Defense

Points allowed28

Yards allowed301

Rushing allowed146

Passing allowed155

Yards per play allowed4.9

First downs allowed17

Takeaways1.4

Louisiana Tech

Offense

Points28

Total yards301

Rushing yards146

Passing yards155

Yards per play4.9

First downs17

Turnovers1.4

Defense

Points allowed29

Yards allowed336

Rushing allowed152

Passing allowed184

Yards per play allowed5.2

First downs allowed18

Takeaways1.3

Compare these two teams

YdsPts Minnesota 408 30 Purdue 405 29 Minnesota 51% More

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Minnesota Scores 32.0 a game, allows 18.0

30 29

Purdue Scores 30.4 a game, allows 35.0

Minnesota wins 51% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 41% were decided by 7 or fewer and 18% by 21 or more.

Minnesota

Offense

Points30

Total yards408

Rushing yards141

Passing yards267

Yards per play6.5

First downs22

Turnovers0.7

Defense

Points allowed29

Yards allowed405

Rushing allowed140

Passing allowed265

Yards per play allowed6.2

First downs allowed23

Takeaways1.0

Purdue

Offense

Points29

Total yards405

Rushing yards140

Passing yards265

Yards per play6.2

First downs23

Turnovers1.0

Defense

Points allowed30

Yards allowed408

Rushing allowed141

Passing allowed267

Yards per play allowed6.5

First downs allowed22

Takeaways0.7

Compare these two teams

YdsPts Hawai'i 367 18 Arizona State 447 36 Arizona State 91% More

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Hawai'i Scores 17.6 a game, allows 24.8

18 36

Arizona State Scores 33.2 a game, allows 31.8

Arizona State wins 91% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 36% were decided by 7 or fewer and 26% by 21 or more.

Hawai'i

Offense

Points18

Total yards367

Rushing yards128

Passing yards239

Yards per play5.6

First downs20

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed36

Yards allowed447

Rushing allowed174

Passing allowed274

Yards per play allowed6.5

First downs allowed24

Takeaways0.9

Arizona State

Offense

Points36

Total yards447

Rushing yards174

Passing yards274

Yards per play6.5

First downs24

Turnovers0.9

Defense

Points allowed18

Yards allowed367

Rushing allowed128

Passing allowed239

Yards per play allowed5.6

First downs allowed20

Takeaways0.9

Compare these two teams

YdsPts Kansas 318 21 Utah 378 32 Utah 81% More

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Kansas Scores 36.0 a game, allows 17.0

21 32

Utah Scores 43.2 a game, allows 10.2

Utah wins 81% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 39% were decided by 7 or fewer and 19% by 21 or more.

Kansas

Offense

Points21

Total yards318

Rushing yards176

Passing yards142

Yards per play5.0

First downs20

Turnovers1.5

Defense

Points allowed32

Yards allowed378

Rushing allowed129

Passing allowed249

Yards per play allowed5.7

First downs allowed21

Takeaways0.7

Utah

Offense

Points32

Total yards378

Rushing yards129

Passing yards249

Yards per play5.7

First downs21

Turnovers0.7

Defense

Points allowed21

Yards allowed318

Rushing allowed176

Passing allowed142

Yards per play allowed5.0

First downs allowed20

Takeaways1.5

Compare these two teams

YdsPts Boise State 413 28 Fresno State 298 22 Boise State 68% More

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Boise State Scores 34.4 a game, allows 20.6

28 22

Fresno State Scores 27.8 a game, allows 16.4

Boise State wins 68% of the time by this site's index. In a thousand simulated games, 32% were decided by 7 or fewer and 24% by 21 or more.

Boise State

Offense

Points28

Total yards413

Rushing yards221

Passing yards192

Yards per play5.7

First downs23

Turnovers1.3

Defense

Points allowed22

Yards allowed298

Rushing allowed96

Passing allowed202

Yards per play allowed5.4

First downs allowed13

Takeaways0.7

Fresno State

Offense

Points22

Total yards298

Rushing yards96

Passing yards202

Yards per play5.4

First downs13

Turnovers0.7

Defense

Points allowed28

Yards allowed413

Rushing allowed221

Passing allowed192

Yards per play allowed5.7

First downs allowed23

Takeaways1.3

Compare these two teams

How these are made: who wins, how likely and by how much come from the power index, the same model behind the rest of this page. Total points come from what each offense scores and each defense allows a game. Yards, first downs and turnovers are the average of a thousand simulated games between the two teams, so a team's yards and its score do not always line up neatly.

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