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Has the ball Georgia Tech 0
Loading Week 6, 2026
Has the ball Duke 0
Field position GEORGIA TECH DUKE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Georgia Tech0.00.00.00.00.0
Duke0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Duke 78%, by about 11
22% Georgia TechDuke 78%

What Georgia Tech needs to do

59%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to D. Penson

A. Mendoza to D. Penson works 59% of the time (13 of 22 throws, 16 caught, 11.0 yards a throw). Duke lets passes work 39% of the time (all teams 43%).

33%Duke allows 44%
With the ball

Duke takes away the pass on 2nd and medium

Georgia Tech's passes on 2nd and medium work 33% of the time (3 of 9), and Duke holds them to 44% (4 of 9). All teams: 51%.

55%Duke allows 57%
With the ball

Throw on 1st and long

Georgia Tech's passes on 1st and long work 55% of the time (27 of 49), and Duke lets them work 57% (17 of 30). All teams: 49%.

64%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away N. Sheppard

Small sample

W. Eget to N. Sheppard works 64% of the time (7 of 11 throws, 9 caught, 6.1 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 44%.

29%Georgia Tech allows on 2nd and medium
On defense

Win 2nd and medium against the run

Duke's runs on 2nd and medium work 33% of the time (3 of 9), and Georgia Tech holds them to 29% (5 of 17). All teams: 49%.

Tale of the tape

Georgia Tech Duke
46%47th of 138 Plays that work on offense 69th of 13844%
48%41st of 138 Runs that work 95th of 13842%
44%63rd of 138 Passes that work 41st of 13846%
39%85th of 138 Third downs converted 55th of 13843%
15%28th of 138 Big plays on offense 5th of 13818%
18%98th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 84th of 13816%
2.1175th of 138 Points per drive 27th of 1382.87
43%89th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 34th of 13837%
44%117th of 138 Third downs allowed 14th of 13829%
6%75th of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 86th of 1385%
8%101st of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 3rd of 1381%
13%115th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 31st of 13818%
2.35111th of 138 Points per drive allowed 17th of 1381.19

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Georgia Tech's 4 games and Duke's 4 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Georgia Tech Duke

    Talking points

    This season

    18%of snaps wrecked by the defense
    Offense

    Keep the defense out of the backfield

    18% of Georgia Tech's snaps end in a loss, a pass broken up or a turnover, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 122nd of 138.

    36%of middle eight plays work
    Offense

    Own the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, Georgia Tech's plays work 36% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 118th of 138.

    59%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to D. Penson

    A. Mendoza to D. Penson works 59% of the time (13 of 22 throws, 16 caught, 11.0 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 41%. He gets 19% of the targets.

    37%of passing downs work against it
    Defense

    Finish passing downs

    Opponents' plays work 37% of the time on passing downs against Georgia Tech (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 124th of 138.

    54%of runs gain 4 or more
    Defense

    Close the creases

    54% of opponents' runs gain 4 yards or more against Georgia Tech, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 116th of 138.

    All of Georgia Tech's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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