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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
season, every situation

Duke

What Duke calls on every down, distance and part of the field, and how often each call works.

Every play is counted, so these tables line up with a box score. "Close-game plays only" leaves out snaps after a game is decided, when teams stop calling plays the way they normally do.

Keys for improvement: offense

44%

Duke's plays work 44% of the time (101 of 231). All teams: 44%. That is about average. A play "works" when it stays on schedule: half the distance on first down, 70% on second, all of it on third or fourth.

What would help most

34%of red zone plays work

Finish in the red zone

Inside the 20, Duke's plays work 34% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 110th of 132.

48%passes that work

Throw it more on 2nd & 7+

On 2nd & 7+ they run 57% of the time, but runs work 25% (7 of 28) and passes work 48% (10 of 21).

64%of throws to him work

Get the ball to N. Sheppard

Small sample

W. Eget to N. Sheppard works 64% of the time (7 of 11 throws, 9 caught, 6.1 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 44%. He gets 12% of the targets.

59%of deep throws work

Take more shots downfield

Deep throws: 10 of 17 caught, working 59% of the time. Short throws: 48 of 76 caught, working 45%.

4 of 7third and fourth downs converted

J. Hasley on third down

Small sample

On third and fourth down, W. Eget to J. Hasley has moved the chains 4 of 7 times (57%).

The players behind it

63%completions

W. Eget

W. Eget has completed 56 of 89 passes (63%), and 47% of his throws keep the offense on schedule.

13 of 22caught

J. Hasley

J. Hasley: 13 catches on 22 targets, 8.9 yards a target, and 50% of throws his way work.

13 of 17caught

J. Burton

J. Burton: 13 catches on 17 targets, 11.0 yards a target, and 53% of throws his way work.

9 of 11caught

N. Sheppard

Small sample

N. Sheppard: 9 catches on 11 targets, 6.1 yards a target, and 64% of throws his way work.

6.8yards a carry

N. Sheppard

N. Sheppard: 90 carries, 6.8 yards a carry, and 43% of his runs work.

3.8yards a carry

C. Campbell Jr.

C. Campbell Jr.: 34 carries, 3.8 yards a carry, and 41% of his runs work.

Best at

38%all teams 26%

Passing on 3rd and long

Small sample

Passing on 3rd and long (7 or more) works 38% of the time, against 26% for all teams (5 of 13 plays).

48%all teams 39%

Passing on 2nd and long

Passing on 2nd and long (7 or more) works 48% of the time, against 39% for all teams (10 of 21 plays).

Worst at

38%all teams 48%

Running in the red zone

Running in the red zone works 38% of the time, against 48% for all teams (8 of 21 plays).

29%all teams 38%

Passing in the red zone

Passing in the red zone works 29% of the time, against 38% for all teams (5 of 17 plays).

From 4 games through week 4, garbage time left out. Every line compares this team with all FBS teams in the same spot and shows the count behind it. "Small sample" means fewer than 15 plays, so treat it as a lead, not a fact. Copy puts the line on your clipboard, ready to paste.

Advanced numbers: offense

Efficiency

Plays that work
44%all teams 43%
70th of 137
Runs that work
42%all teams 43%
94th of 137
Passes that work
46%all teams 42%
41st of 137
Third downs converted
43%all teams 39%
56th of 137
Standard downs that workAny first down, second and 7 or less, and third or fourth and 4 or less.
49%all teams 48%
68th of 137
Passing downs that workSecond and 8 or more, and third or fourth and 5 or more.
32%all teams 30%
70th of 137
Red zone plays that work
34%all teams 43%
110th of 132
Middle eight plays that workThe last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second.
48%all teams 43%
52nd of 137
Big plays, share of snapsRuns of 10 yards or more and passes of 20 or more.
18%all teams 12%
5th of 137
Average third down, yards to go
6.4all teams 7.1
36th of 137

Running

Runs stuffed for no gain
16%all teams 16%
84th of 137
Runs of 4 yards or more
46%all teams 49%
102nd of 137
Short yardage runs convertedRuns on third or fourth down with 2 yards or less to go.
75%all teams 71%
53rd of 130

Disruption

Havoc plays allowedTackles for loss, sacks, passes broken up, interceptions and forced fumbles, as a share of snaps.
10%all teams 15%
11th of 137
Sacks allowed, per dropback
1%all teams 6%
3rd of 137

Drives

Average drive start, own yard line
31.7all teams 29.5
33rd of 137
Yards per drive
40.3all teams 33.1
32nd of 137
Points per drive
2.87all teams 2.07
28th of 137
Available yards gainedEach drive could gain at most the distance to the end zone. This is the share actually gained.
59%all teams 47%
24th of 137

The rank is among FBS teams, with 1st the best for an offense, and the bar fills toward the best. Garbage time is left out. These are plain rates, not adjusted for opponent. A drive's points count the touchdown with its extra point or a field goal.

269 plays across 4 games. Run rate 61%. The quarterback has 8 of 163 runs, and the feed cannot tell a designed keeper from a scramble.

By down and distance

SituationPlaysRunAll teams run HandoffsQB runsPasses
1st & 1-3 * 3 100% 87% 33% of 3 - -
1st & 4-6 * 2 100% 73% 100% of 2 - -
1st & 7+ 116 71% 56% 47% of 78 25% of 4 47% of 34
2nd & 1-3 13 46% 66% 67% of 6 - 43% of 7
2nd & 4-6 20 55% 58% 38% of 8 0% of 3 67% of 9
2nd & 7+ 55 58% 45% 26% of 31 0% of 1 52% of 23
3rd & 1-3 14 71% 71% 50% of 10 - 75% of 4
3rd & 4-6 15 47% 30% 57% of 7 - 38% of 8
3rd & 7+ 21 29% 24% 17% of 6 - 40% of 15
4th & 1-3 * 5 60% 65% 100% of 3 - 50% of 2
4th & 4-6 * 3 33% 17% 100% of 1 - 0% of 2
4th & 7+ * 2 0% 12% - - 0% of 2

By field position

SituationPlaysRunAll teams run HandoffsQB runsPasses
Backed up (own 1-19) 21 76% 54% 27% of 15 0% of 1 20% of 5
Own side (own 20-49) 103 63% 48% 48% of 62 0% of 3 53% of 38
Opponent side (50 to the 21) 101 56% 50% 42% of 55 50% of 2 55% of 44
Red zone (20 and in) 44 57% 62% 52% of 23 0% of 2 26% of 19

By score

SituationPlaysRunAll teams run HandoffsQB runsPasses
Trailing by 9+ 18 56% 44% 60% of 10 - 62% of 8
Within one score 152 59% 51% 37% of 86 0% of 3 44% of 63
Leading by 9+ 99 65% 59% 52% of 59 20% of 5 49% of 35

Handoffs, QB runs, and Passes show how often the play worked and how many there were. Run includes QB runs. * means fewer than 10 plays, so treat it as noise. Data from CollegeFootballData.com.

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