Halftime
Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.
Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.
| Points added | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Buffalo | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.
What each possession produced, and the plays that swung the game most.
Available yards is the share of the distance to the end zone a team gained on its drives. A play's swing is how much it changed the points a team could expect, so kicks and returns do not appear.
J. Richter to B. Hammer works 79% of the time (15 of 19 throws, 16 caught, 16.7 yards a throw). Buffalo lets passes work 37% of the time (all teams 43%).
Toledo's runs on 2nd and long work 27% of the time (7 of 26), and Buffalo holds them to 5% (1 of 22). All teams: 31%.
Toledo's passes on 3rd and medium work 56% of the time (9 of 16), and Buffalo lets them work 54% (7 of 13). All teams: 42%.
J. Wright to T. Wilson works 50% of the time (4 of 8 throws, 5 caught, 6.5 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 32%.
Buffalo's passes on 3rd and short work 62% of the time (5 of 8), and Toledo has let them work 78% (7 of 9). All teams: 55%.
J. Wright to T. Wilson works 50% of the time (4 of 8 throws, 5 caught, 6.5 yards a throw). Toledo lets passes work 41% of the time (all teams 43%).
Buffalo's passes on 3rd and short work 62% of the time (5 of 8), and Toledo lets them work 78% (7 of 9). All teams: 55%.
Buffalo's passes on 2nd and long work 24% of the time (8 of 34), and Toledo holds them to 29% (9 of 31). All teams: 39%.
J. Richter to B. Hammer works 79% of the time (15 of 19 throws, 16 caught, 16.7 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 40%.
Toledo's runs on 2nd and long work 27% of the time (7 of 26), and Buffalo holds them to 5% (1 of 22). All teams: 31%.
Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Toledo's 5 games and Buffalo's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.
The game has not started.
Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.
| Measure | This game | Season |
|---|
Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.
J. Richter to B. Hammer works 79% of the time (15 of 19 throws, 16 caught, 16.7 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 40%. He gets 13% of the targets.
On 2nd & 7+ they run 47% of the time, but runs work 27% (7 of 26) and passes work 48% (14 of 29).
Passing in the red zone works 52% of the time, against 38% for all teams (12 of 23 plays).
Toledo wrecks 13% of opponents' snaps with a loss, a break-up or a takeaway, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 108th of 137.
Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 24% of the time, against 41% for all teams (16 of 67 plays).
Buffalo gains 35% of the yards between its starting spot and the end zone, against 47% for all teams. That ranks 132nd of 137.
Buffalo's plays work only 23% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 124th of 137.
Deep throws: 12 of 23 caught, working 52% of the time. Short throws: 71 of 130 caught, working 32%.
Opponents' runs on 2nd and long (7 or more) work 5% of the time, against 31% for all teams (1 of 22 plays).
Opponents' passes on 1st and long (7 or more) work 40% of the time, against 49% for all teams (21 of 52 plays).
"Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.
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