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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball East Carolina 0
Loading Week 6, 2026
Has the ball Rice 0
Field position EAST CAROLINA RICE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
East Carolina0.00.00.00.00.0
Rice0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: East Carolina 89%, by about 18
89% East CarolinaRice 11%

What East Carolina needs to do

9.2yards a carry
With the ball

More carries for T. Engleman Jr.

Runs by T. Engleman Jr. work 56% of the time (15 of 27, 9.2 yards a carry). Rice lets runs work 46% of the time (all teams 45%).

12%Rice allows 21%
With the ball

Stay out of 3rd and long

East Carolina's passes on 3rd and long work 12% of the time (1 of 8), and Rice holds them to 21% (4 of 19). All teams: 26%.

69%Rice allows 50%
With the ball

Throw on 2nd and medium

East Carolina's passes on 2nd and medium work 69% of the time (9 of 13), and Rice lets them work 50% (4 of 8). All teams: 51%.

50%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away J. Clark

Small sample

J. Brown to J. Clark works 50% of the time (7 of 14 throws, 10 caught, 6.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 25%.

80%East Carolina allows on 2nd and medium
On defense

Shore up the run defense on 2nd and medium

Rice's runs on 2nd and medium work 62% of the time (16 of 26), and East Carolina has let them work 80% (8 of 10). All teams: 49%.

Tale of the tape

East Carolina Rice
44%70th of 138 Plays that work on offense 88th of 13842%
41%100th of 138 Runs that work 52nd of 13847%
46%42nd of 138 Passes that work 133rd of 13830%
29%126th of 138 Third downs converted 110th of 13834%
12%69th of 138 Big plays on offense 75th of 13812%
18%100th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 55th of 13814%
2.0385th of 138 Points per drive 100th of 1381.82
34%18th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 84th of 13843%
33%38th of 138 Third downs allowed 116th of 13844%
10%19th of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 93rd of 1385%
6%88th of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 126th of 13810%
19%19th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 105th of 13813%
1.6847th of 138 Points per drive allowed 108th of 1382.30

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using East Carolina's 4 games and Rice's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    East Carolina Rice

    Talking points

    This season

    20%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    East Carolina's plays work only 20% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 136th of 138.

    17%of snaps wrecked by the defense
    Offense

    Keep the defense out of the backfield

    17% of East Carolina's snaps end in a loss, a pass broken up or a turnover, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 114th of 138.

    9.2yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for T. Engleman Jr.

    Runs by T. Engleman Jr. work 56% of the time (15 of 27, 9.2 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 36% (16 of 45).

    55%of red zone plays work against it
    Defense

    Tighten up in the red zone

    Inside the 20, opponents' plays work 55% of the time against East Carolina, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 119th of 128.

    25%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 25% of the time, against 41% for all teams (15 of 59 plays).

    All of East Carolina's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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