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Has the ball Purdue 0
Loading Week 6, 2026
Has the ball Minnesota 0
Field position PURDUE MINNESOTA 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Purdue0.00.00.00.00.0
Minnesota0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Purdue 52%, by about 1
52% PurdueMinnesota 48%

What Purdue needs to do

6%of dropbacks end in a sack
With the ball

Keep R. Browne clean

R. Browne has been sacked on 6% of dropbacks (10 of 155), and Minnesota gets a sack on 11%. All teams: 5%.

29%Minnesota allows 0%
With the ball

Stay out of 3rd and long

Purdue's passes on 3rd and long work 29% of the time (7 of 24), and Minnesota holds them to 0% (0 of 14). All teams: 26%.

52%Minnesota allows 39%
With the ball

Throw on 2nd and long

Purdue's passes on 2nd and long work 52% of the time (17 of 33), and Minnesota lets them work 39% (12 of 31). All teams: 39%.

54%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away D. Taylor

Small sample

D. Lindsey to D. Taylor works 54% of the time (7 of 13 throws, 11 caught, 8.0 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 45%.

33%Purdue allows on 2nd and medium
On defense

Win 2nd and medium against the pass

Minnesota's passes on 2nd and medium work 50% of the time (4 of 8), and Purdue holds them to 33% (3 of 9). All teams: 51%.

Tale of the tape

Purdue Minnesota
48%34th of 138 Plays that work on offense 63rd of 13844%
41%102nd of 138 Runs that work 92nd of 13842%
54%12th of 138 Passes that work 52nd of 13845%
45%51st of 138 Third downs converted 70th of 13840%
10%109th of 138 Big plays on offense 135th of 1387%
16%81st of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 130th of 13824%
2.7633rd of 138 Points per drive 93rd of 1381.94
50%134th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 54th of 13839%
53%136th of 138 Third downs allowed 38th of 13833%
5%88th of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 6th of 13811%
6%88th of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 10th of 1382%
13%108th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 3rd of 13823%
3.36138th of 138 Points per drive allowed 38th of 1381.53

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Purdue's 5 games and Minnesota's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Purdue Minnesota

    Talking points

    This season

    33%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, Purdue's plays work 33% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 112th of 133.

    58%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they run 48% of the time, but runs work 38% (23 of 60) and passes work 58% (38 of 65).

    52%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 2nd & 7+

    On 2nd & 7+ they run 37% of the time, but runs work 16% (3 of 19) and passes work 52% (17 of 33).

    3.36points per drive allowed
    Defense

    Get stops

    Opponents score 3.36 points per drive against Purdue, against 2.07 for all teams. That ranks 138th of 138.

    57%of middle eight plays work against it
    Defense

    Hold the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, opponents' plays work 57% of the time against Purdue, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 136th of 138.

    All of Purdue's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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