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Has the ball California 0
Loading Week 6, 2026
Has the ball Virginia Tech 0
Field position CALIFORNIA VIRGINIA TECH 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
California0.00.00.00.00.0
Virginia Tech0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Virginia Tech 82%, by about 12
18% CaliforniaVirginia Tech 82%

What California needs to do

53%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to A. Mohammed

J. Sagapolutele to A. Mohammed works 53% of the time (10 of 19 throws, 17 caught, 8.8 yards a throw). Virginia Tech lets passes work 38% of the time (all teams 43%).

4%of dropbacks end in a sack
With the ball

Keep J. Sagapolutele clean

J. Sagapolutele has been sacked on 4% of dropbacks (9 of 207), and Virginia Tech gets a sack on 13%. All teams: 5%.

67%Virginia Tech allows 62%
With the ball

Throw on 2nd and medium

California's passes on 2nd and medium work 67% of the time (6 of 9), and Virginia Tech lets them work 62% (5 of 8). All teams: 51%.

63%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away L. Reynolds

E. Grunkemeyer to L. Reynolds works 63% of the time (24 of 38 throws, 33 caught, 8.8 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 44%.

92%California allows on 3rd and short
On defense

Shore up the run defense on 3rd and short

Virginia Tech's runs on 3rd and short work 71% of the time (12 of 17), and California has let them work 92% (11 of 12). All teams: 69%.

Tale of the tape

California Virginia Tech
38%121st of 137 Plays that work on offense 32nd of 13748%
37%119th of 137 Runs that work 31st of 13749%
38%109th of 137 Passes that work 30th of 13748%
35%105th of 137 Third downs converted 46th of 13744%
9%121st of 137 Big plays on offense 84th of 13712%
19%112th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 107th of 13719%
1.9096th of 137 Points per drive 47th of 1372.58
36%30th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 28th of 13736%
39%82nd of 137 Third downs allowed 15th of 13729%
6%66th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 4th of 13713%
4%46th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 59th of 1375%
13%111th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 10th of 13721%
2.24101st of 137 Points per drive allowed 54th of 1371.79

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using California's 5 games and Virginia Tech's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    California Virginia Tech

    Talking points

    This season

    43%of runs gain 4 or more
    Offense

    Give the backs a crease

    Only 43% of California's runs gain 4 yards or more, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 120th of 137.

    36%of middle eight plays work
    Offense

    Own the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, California's plays work 36% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 116th of 137.

    53%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to A. Mohammed

    J. Sagapolutele to A. Mohammed works 53% of the time (10 of 19 throws, 17 caught, 8.8 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 36%. He gets 10% of the targets.

    11%of opponents' runs stuffed
    Defense

    Win more first contact

    California stuffs only 11% of opponents' runs for no gain, against 16% for all teams. That ranks 127th of 137.

    13%of snaps end in a havoc play
    Defense

    Make more plays behind the line

    California wrecks 13% of opponents' snaps with a loss, a break-up or a takeaway, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 111th of 137.

    All of California's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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