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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Alabama 0
Loading Week 6, 2026
Has the ball Georgia 0
Field position ALABAMA GEORGIA 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Alabama0.00.00.00.00.0
Georgia0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Alabama 54%, by about 1
54% AlabamaGeorgia 46%

What Alabama needs to do

78%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to K. Edwards

Small sample

K. Russell to K. Edwards works 78% of the time (7 of 9 throws, 8 caught, 12.3 yards a throw). Georgia lets passes work 35% of the time (all teams 43%).

9%of dropbacks end in a sack
With the ball

Keep K. Russell clean

K. Russell has been sacked on 9% of dropbacks (11 of 129), and Georgia gets a sack on 8%. All teams: 5%.

29%Georgia allows 0%
With the ball

Georgia takes away the run on 2nd and long

Alabama's runs on 2nd and long work 29% of the time (5 of 17), and Georgia holds them to 0% (0 of 12). All teams: 31%.

75%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away C. Bowens

Small sample

G. Stockton to C. Bowens works 75% of the time (6 of 8 throws, 8 caught, 13.0 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 55%.

44%Alabama allows on 2nd and short
On defense

Win 2nd and short against the run

Georgia's runs on 2nd and short work 62% of the time (5 of 8), and Alabama holds them to 44% (4 of 9). All teams: 68%.

Tale of the tape

Alabama Georgia
51%12th of 137 Plays that work on offense 2nd of 13758%
52%11th of 137 Runs that work 2nd of 13759%
50%23rd of 137 Passes that work 3rd of 13756%
43%54th of 137 Third downs converted 7th of 13755%
18%3rd of 137 Big plays on offense 13th of 13716%
14%57th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 2nd of 1377%
3.436th of 137 Points per drive 3rd of 1373.65
36%26th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 2nd of 13728%
31%24th of 137 Third downs allowed 30th of 13732%
10%13th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 28th of 1378%
9%113th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 61st of 1375%
19%23rd of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 12th of 13721%
1.8258th of 137 Points per drive allowed 2nd of 1370.70

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Alabama's 5 games and Georgia's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Alabama Georgia

    Talking points

    This season

    9%of dropbacks end in a sack
    Offense

    Protect the quarterback

    K. Russell has been sacked on 9% of dropbacks (11 of 129), against 5% for all teams.

    78%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to K. Edwards

    Small sample

    K. Russell to K. Edwards works 78% of the time (7 of 9 throws, 8 caught, 12.3 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 48%. He gets 8% of the targets.

    4.9yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for D. Hill

    Runs by D. Hill work 54% of the time (27 of 50, 4.9 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 45% (28 of 62).

    24%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 24% of the time, against 41% for all teams (12 of 50 plays).

    27%all teams 39%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 2nd and long

    Opponents' passes on 2nd and long (7 or more) work 27% of the time, against 39% for all teams (8 of 30 plays).

    All of Alabama's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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