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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Washington 0
Loading Week 6, 2026
Has the ball Iowa 0
Field position WASHINGTON IOWA 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Washington0.00.00.00.00.0
Iowa0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Iowa 53%, by about 1
47% WashingtonIowa 53%

What Washington needs to do

82%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to B. Naone

D. Williams Jr. to B. Naone works 82% of the time (14 of 17 throws, 16 caught, 14.4 yards a throw). Iowa lets passes work 39% of the time (all teams 43%).

8%of dropbacks end in a sack
With the ball

Keep D. Williams Jr. clean

D. Williams Jr. has been sacked on 8% of dropbacks (13 of 172), and Iowa gets a sack on 7%. All teams: 5%.

25%Iowa allows 40%
With the ball

Iowa takes away the pass on 3rd and medium

Washington's passes on 3rd and medium work 25% of the time (3 of 12), and Iowa holds them to 40% (6 of 15). All teams: 42%.

56%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away R. Vander Zee

H. Brown to R. Vander Zee works 56% of the time (9 of 16 throws, 10 caught, 7.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 46%.

27%Washington allows on 2nd and long
On defense

Force Iowa into 2nd and long

Iowa's runs on 2nd and long work 7% of the time (1 of 15), and Washington holds them to 27% (8 of 30). All teams: 31%.

Tale of the tape

Washington Iowa
44%71st of 137 Plays that work on offense 75th of 13744%
42%93rd of 137 Runs that work 111th of 13739%
45%57th of 137 Passes that work 36th of 13747%
31%118th of 137 Third downs converted 56th of 13743%
10%109th of 137 Big plays on offense 118th of 1379%
18%103rd of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 28th of 13712%
2.1672nd of 137 Points per drive 62nd of 1372.37
38%40th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 42nd of 13738%
31%27th of 137 Third downs allowed 57th of 13736%
6%71st of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 45th of 1377%
8%100th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 31st of 1373%
19%25th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 75th of 13715%
1.5035th of 137 Points per drive allowed 24th of 1371.24

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Washington's 5 games and Iowa's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Washington Iowa

    Talking points

    This season

    82%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to B. Naone

    D. Williams Jr. to B. Naone works 82% of the time (14 of 17 throws, 16 caught, 14.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 41%. He gets 11% of the targets.

    75%runs that work
    Offense

    Run it more on 3rd & 1-3

    On 3rd & 1-3 they throw 53% of the time, but passes work 22% (2 of 9) and runs work 75% (6 of 8).

    57%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 2nd & 4-6

    On 2nd & 4-6 they run 58% of the time, but runs work 26% (5 of 19) and passes work 57% (8 of 14).

    40%all teams 48%
    Defense

    Stopping the run in the red zone

    Opponents' runs in the red zone work 40% of the time, against 48% for all teams (8 of 20 plays).

    58%all teams 69%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 3rd and short

    Small sample

    Opponents' runs on 3rd and short (1-3 yards) work 58% of the time, against 69% for all teams (7 of 12 plays).

    All of Washington's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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