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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Florida Atlantic 0
Loading Week 8, 2026
Has the ball Rice 0
Field position FLORIDA ATLANTIC RICE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Florida Atlantic0.00.00.00.00.0
Rice0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Florida Atlantic 82%, by about 14
82% Florida AtlanticRice 18%

What Florida Atlantic needs to do

60%Rice allows 80%
With the ball

Throw on 3rd and medium

Florida Atlantic's passes on 3rd and medium work 60% of the time (6 of 10), and Rice lets them work 80% (8 of 10). All teams: 42%.

4.9yards a carry
With the ball

More carries for L. Farrow

Runs by L. Farrow work 55% of the time (16 of 29, 4.9 yards a carry). Rice lets runs work 46% of the time (all teams 45%).

17%Rice allows 50%
With the ball

Rice takes away the pass on 2nd and medium

Florida Atlantic's passes on 2nd and medium work 17% of the time (2 of 12), and Rice holds them to 50% (4 of 8). All teams: 51%.

50%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away J. Clark

Small sample

J. Brown to J. Clark works 50% of the time (7 of 14 throws, 10 caught, 6.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 25%.

10%of Rice dropbacks end in a sack
On defense

Get to the quarterback

Rice's quarterback has been sacked on 10% of dropbacks (7 of 71). Florida Atlantic gets a sack on 4%. All teams: 5%.

Tale of the tape

Florida Atlantic Rice
46%42nd of 137 Plays that work on offense 88th of 13742%
43%88th of 137 Runs that work 53rd of 13747%
49%25th of 137 Passes that work 132nd of 13730%
54%8th of 137 Third downs converted 109th of 13734%
8%133rd of 137 Big plays on offense 75th of 13712%
12%27th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 55th of 13714%
2.3464th of 137 Points per drive 100th of 1371.82
38%43rd of 137 Plays that work against the defense 83rd of 13743%
34%44th of 137 Third downs allowed 115th of 13744%
4%112th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 95th of 1375%
4%48th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 125th of 13710%
17%46th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 104th of 13713%
2.1396th of 137 Points per drive allowed 106th of 1372.30

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Florida Atlantic's 5 games and Rice's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Florida Atlantic Rice

    Talking points

    This season

    67%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to K. Valsin

    C. Veltkamp to K. Valsin works 67% of the time (31 of 46 throws, 36 caught, 9.1 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 42%. He gets 31% of the targets.

    56%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they run 41% of the time, but runs work 28% (13 of 47) and passes work 56% (38 of 68).

    4.9yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for L. Farrow

    Runs by L. Farrow work 55% of the time (16 of 29, 4.9 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 38% (32 of 84).

    50%of red zone plays work against it
    Defense

    Tighten up in the red zone

    Inside the 20, opponents' plays work 50% of the time against Florida Atlantic, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 99th of 126.

    26%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 26% of the time, against 41% for all teams (15 of 57 plays).

    All of Florida Atlantic's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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