nextsnap
About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Oregon 0
Loading Week 7, 2026
Has the ball Nebraska 0
Field position OREGON NEBRASKA 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Oregon0.00.00.00.00.0
Nebraska0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Nebraska 69%, by about 7
31% OregonNebraska 69%

What Oregon needs to do

60%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to J. Johnson

D. Moore to J. Johnson works 60% of the time (9 of 15 throws, 12 caught, 12.1 yards a throw). Nebraska lets passes work 32% of the time (all teams 43%).

4%of dropbacks end in a sack
With the ball

Keep D. Moore clean

D. Moore has been sacked on 4% of dropbacks (7 of 165), and Nebraska gets a sack on 10%. All teams: 5%.

78%Nebraska allows 89%
With the ball

Run on 2nd and short

Oregon's runs on 2nd and short work 78% of the time (7 of 9), and Nebraska lets them work 89% (8 of 9). All teams: 68%.

62%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away M. Nelson

Small sample

A. Colandrea to M. Nelson works 62% of the time (8 of 13 throws, 9 caught, 12.5 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 44%.

50%Oregon allows on 2nd and short
On defense

Win 2nd and short against the run

Nebraska's runs on 2nd and short work 50% of the time (4 of 8), and Oregon holds them to 50% (4 of 8). All teams: 68%.

Tale of the tape

Oregon Nebraska
41%92nd of 138 Plays that work on offense 42nd of 13847%
42%90th of 138 Runs that work 35th of 13848%
41%88th of 138 Passes that work 43rd of 13845%
36%100th of 138 Third downs converted 15th of 13851%
14%46th of 138 Big plays on offense 26th of 13815%
17%82nd of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 88th of 13817%
2.5351st of 138 Points per drive 18th of 1383.03
39%51st of 138 Plays that work against the defense 7th of 13833%
24%2nd of 138 Third downs allowed 1st of 13815%
5%92nd of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 11th of 13810%
4%41st of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 53rd of 1385%
16%55th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 37th of 13817%
1.8256th of 138 Points per drive allowed 19th of 1381.27

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Oregon's 5 games and Nebraska's 6 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Oregon Nebraska

    Talking points

    This season

    56%of short yardage runs converted
    Offense

    Convert short yardage

    Small sample

    Oregon converts 56% of its runs on third or fourth and 2 or less, against 71% for all teams. That ranks 117th of 134.

    37%of middle eight plays work
    Offense

    Own the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, Oregon's plays work 37% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 114th of 138.

    44%handoffs that work
    Offense

    Handoffs beat quarterback runs

    D. Moore's runs work 12% of the time (1 of 8). Handoffs work 44% (51 of 115).

    0%all teams 42%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 3rd and medium

    Small sample

    Opponents' passes on 3rd and medium (4-6) work 0% of the time, against 42% for all teams (0 of 11 plays).

    32%all teams 48%
    Defense

    Stopping the run in the red zone

    Opponents' runs in the red zone work 32% of the time, against 48% for all teams (12 of 37 plays).

    All of Oregon's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.