nextsnap
About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Duke 0
Loading Week 12, 2026
Has the ball Clemson 0
Field position DUKE CLEMSON 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Duke0.00.00.00.00.0
Clemson0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Duke 74%, by about 8
74% DukeClemson 26%

What Duke needs to do

64%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to N. Sheppard

Small sample

W. Eget to N. Sheppard works 64% of the time (7 of 11 throws, 9 caught, 6.1 yards a throw). Clemson lets passes work 33% of the time (all teams 43%).

47%Clemson allows 29%
With the ball

Clemson takes away the pass on 1st and long

Duke's passes on 1st and long work 47% of the time (15 of 32), and Clemson holds them to 29% (17 of 59). All teams: 49%.

48%Clemson allows 47%
With the ball

Throw on 2nd and long

Duke's passes on 2nd and long work 48% of the time (10 of 21), and Clemson lets them work 47% (18 of 38). All teams: 39%.

65%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away T. Brown

T. Reynolds to T. Brown works 65% of the time (15 of 23 throws, 21 caught, 8.2 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 33%.

10%of Clemson dropbacks end in a sack
On defense

Get to the quarterback

Clemson's quarterback has been sacked on 10% of dropbacks (15 of 155). Duke gets a sack on 5%. All teams: 5%.

Tale of the tape

Duke Clemson
44%70th of 137 Plays that work on offense 130th of 13736%
42%94th of 137 Runs that work 134th of 13734%
46%41st of 137 Passes that work 111th of 13737%
43%56th of 137 Third downs converted 123rd of 13730%
18%5th of 137 Big plays on offense 105th of 13711%
16%84th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 116th of 13720%
2.8728th of 137 Points per drive 121st of 1371.48
37%34th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 79th of 13742%
29%13th of 137 Third downs allowed 37th of 13733%
5%86th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 60th of 1377%
1%3rd of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 124th of 13710%
18%32nd of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 52nd of 13717%
1.1917th of 137 Points per drive allowed 39th of 1371.53

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Duke's 4 games and Clemson's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Duke Clemson

    Talking points

    This season

    34%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, Duke's plays work 34% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 110th of 132.

    48%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 2nd & 7+

    On 2nd & 7+ they run 57% of the time, but runs work 25% (7 of 28) and passes work 48% (10 of 21).

    64%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to N. Sheppard

    Small sample

    W. Eget to N. Sheppard works 64% of the time (7 of 11 throws, 9 caught, 6.1 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 44%. He gets 12% of the targets.

    80%of third and short converted against them
    Defense

    Get off the field on third and short

    Small sample

    Opponents convert third and short 80% of the time (8 of 10), against about 62% for all teams.

    9%all teams 26%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 3rd and long

    Opponents' passes on 3rd and long (7 or more) work 9% of the time, against 26% for all teams (2 of 22 plays).

    All of Duke's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    Next Snap just launched. If a page takes a moment to load the first time, give it a few seconds. It speeds right up after that.