Halftime
Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.
Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.
| Points added | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| North Carolina | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.
What each possession produced, and the plays that swung the game most.
Available yards is the share of the distance to the end zone a team gained on its drives. A play's swing is how much it changed the points a team could expect, so kicks and returns do not appear.
W. Eget to N. Sheppard works 63% of the time (12 of 19 throws, 16 caught, 8.3 yards a throw). North Carolina lets passes work 41% of the time (all teams 43%).
Duke's passes on 2nd and medium work 88% of the time (7 of 8), and North Carolina lets them work 63% (12 of 19). All teams: 51%.
Duke's passes on 3rd and medium work 18% of the time (2 of 11), and North Carolina holds them to 31% (4 of 13). All teams: 42%.
B. Edwards Jr. to J. Shipp works 65% of the time (20 of 31 throws, 25 caught, 11.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 37%.
North Carolina's quarterback has been sacked on 7% of dropbacks (10 of 138). Duke gets a sack on 4%. All teams: 5%.
B. Edwards Jr. to J. Shipp works 65% of the time (20 of 31 throws, 25 caught, 11.4 yards a throw). Duke lets passes work 42% of the time (all teams 43%).
North Carolina's runs on 2nd and long work 33% of the time (7 of 21), and Duke holds them to 8% (1 of 13). All teams: 31%.
North Carolina's passes on 1st and long work 52% of the time (30 of 58), and Duke lets them work 59% (23 of 39). All teams: 48%.
W. Eget to N. Sheppard works 63% of the time (12 of 19 throws, 16 caught, 8.3 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 43%.
Duke's passes on 2nd and medium work 88% of the time (7 of 8), and North Carolina has let them work 63% (12 of 19). All teams: 51%.
Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Duke's 5 games and North Carolina's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.
The game has not started.
Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.
| Measure | This game | Season |
|---|
Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.
On 2nd & 4-6 they run 62% of the time, but runs work 38% (5 of 13) and passes work 88% (7 of 8).
W. Eget to N. Sheppard works 63% of the time (12 of 19 throws, 16 caught, 8.3 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 43%. He gets 14% of the targets.
On 2nd & 7+ they run 55% of the time, but runs work 27% (10 of 37) and passes work 47% (14 of 30).
Inside the 20, opponents' plays work 48% of the time against Duke, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 103rd of 134.
Opponents convert third and short 73% of the time (8 of 11), against about 61% for all teams.
B. Edwards Jr. to J. Shipp works 65% of the time (20 of 31 throws, 25 caught, 11.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 37%. He gets 25% of the targets.
17% of North Carolina's snaps end in a loss, a pass broken up or a turnover, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 115th of 138.
North Carolina gains 42% of the yards between its starting spot and the end zone, against 47% for all teams. That ranks 109th of 138.
North Carolina stuffs only 8% of opponents' runs for no gain, against 16% for all teams. That ranks 138th of 138.
North Carolina wrecks 13% of opponents' snaps with a loss, a break-up or a takeaway, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 116th of 138.
"Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.