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Has the ball Duke 0
Loading Week 1, 2026
Has the ball Tulane 0
Field position DUKE TULANE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Duke0.00.00.00.00.0
Tulane0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Duke Tulane

    Talking points

    This season

    34%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, Duke's plays work 34% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 110th of 132.

    48%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 2nd & 7+

    On 2nd & 7+ they run 57% of the time, but runs work 25% (7 of 28) and passes work 48% (10 of 21).

    64%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to N. Sheppard

    Small sample

    W. Eget to N. Sheppard works 64% of the time (7 of 11 throws, 9 caught, 6.1 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 44%. He gets 12% of the targets.

    80%of third and short converted against them
    Defense

    Get off the field on third and short

    Small sample

    Opponents convert third and short 80% of the time (8 of 10), against about 62% for all teams.

    9%all teams 26%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 3rd and long

    Opponents' passes on 3rd and long (7 or more) work 9% of the time, against 26% for all teams (2 of 22 plays).

    All of Duke's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: Duke 85%, by about 14
    85% DukeTulane 15%

    What Duke needs to do

    64%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to N. Sheppard

    Small sample

    W. Eget to N. Sheppard works 64% of the time (7 of 11 throws, 9 caught, 6.1 yards a throw). Tulane lets passes work 45% of the time (all teams 43%).

    33%Tulane allows 29%
    With the ball

    Tulane takes away the run on 2nd and medium

    Duke's runs on 2nd and medium work 33% of the time (3 of 9), and Tulane holds them to 29% (4 of 14). All teams: 50%.

    38%Tulane allows 44%
    With the ball

    Throw on 3rd and long

    Duke's passes on 3rd and long work 38% of the time (5 of 13), and Tulane lets them work 44% (7 of 16). All teams: 26%.

    62%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away B. Richardson

    Small sample

    K. Semonza to B. Richardson works 62% of the time (5 of 8 throws, 7 caught, 10.6 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 27%.

    10%of Tulane dropbacks end in a sack
    On defense

    Get to the quarterback

    Tulane's quarterback has been sacked on 10% of dropbacks (12 of 119). Duke gets a sack on 5%. All teams: 5%.

    Tale of the tape

    Duke Tulane
    44%70th of 137 Plays that work on offense 134th of 13734%
    42%94th of 137 Runs that work 109th of 13739%
    46%41st of 137 Passes that work 133rd of 13729%
    43%56th of 137 Third downs converted 94th of 13738%
    18%5th of 137 Big plays on offense 75th of 13712%
    16%84th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 99th of 13718%
    2.8728th of 137 Points per drive 110th of 1371.63
    37%34th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 66th of 13740%
    29%13th of 137 Third downs allowed 127th of 13748%
    5%86th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 112th of 1374%
    1%3rd of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 128th of 13710%
    18%32nd of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 127th of 13711%
    1.1917th of 137 Points per drive allowed 82nd of 1372.00

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Duke's 4 games and Tulane's 4 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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