nextsnap
About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Auburn 0
Loading Week 8, 2026
Has the ball LSU 0
Field position AUBURN LSU 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Auburn0.00.00.00.00.0
LSU0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: LSU 82%, by about 13
18% AuburnLSU 82%

What Auburn needs to do

62%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to J. Koger

B. Brown to J. Koger works 62% of the time (10 of 16 throws, 11 caught, 11.4 yards a throw). LSU lets passes work 32% of the time (all teams 43%).

25%LSU allows 29%
With the ball

LSU takes away the pass on 2nd and medium

Auburn's passes on 2nd and medium work 25% of the time (2 of 8), and LSU holds them to 29% (4 of 14). All teams: 51%.

10%of dropbacks end in a sack
With the ball

Keep B. Brown clean

B. Brown has been sacked on 10% of dropbacks (18 of 174), and LSU gets a sack on 10%. All teams: 5%.

73%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away T. Green

S. Leavitt to T. Green works 73% of the time (11 of 15 throws, 13 caught, 14.1 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 47%.

42%Auburn allows on 2nd and medium
On defense

Win 2nd and medium against the pass

LSU's passes on 2nd and medium work 25% of the time (2 of 8), and Auburn holds them to 42% (8 of 19). All teams: 51%.

Tale of the tape

Auburn LSU
42%85th of 138 Plays that work on offense 29th of 13848%
44%71st of 138 Runs that work 47th of 13847%
40%92nd of 138 Passes that work 24th of 13850%
46%29th of 138 Third downs converted 18th of 13850%
12%81st of 138 Big plays on offense 62nd of 13812%
13%30th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 79th of 13816%
2.0971st of 138 Points per drive 21st of 1383.02
39%50th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 2nd of 13831%
32%29th of 138 Third downs allowed 4th of 13826%
7%63rd of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 8th of 13810%
10%131st of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 78th of 1386%
16%64th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 7th of 13821%
1.7447th of 138 Points per drive allowed 18th of 1381.23

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Auburn's 5 games and LSU's 6 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Auburn LSU

    Talking points

    This season

    10%of dropbacks end in a sack
    Offense

    Protect the quarterback

    B. Brown has been sacked on 10% of dropbacks (18 of 174), against 5% for all teams.

    44%runs that work
    Offense

    Run it more on 3rd & 7+

    On 3rd & 7+ they throw 71% of the time, but passes work 18% (4 of 22) and runs work 44% (4 of 9).

    62%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to J. Koger

    B. Brown to J. Koger works 62% of the time (10 of 16 throws, 11 caught, 11.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 38%. He gets 11% of the targets.

    30%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 30% of the time, against 41% for all teams (26 of 88 plays).

    50%all teams 69%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 3rd and short

    Opponents' runs on 3rd and short (1-3 yards) work 50% of the time, against 69% for all teams (9 of 18 plays).

    All of Auburn's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.