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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Louisiana Tech 0
Loading Week 11, 2026
Has the ball Southern Miss 0
Field position LOUISIANA TECH SOUTHERN MISS 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Louisiana Tech0.00.00.00.00.0
Southern Miss0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Louisiana Tech 88%, by about 17
88% Louisiana TechSouthern Miss 12%

What Louisiana Tech needs to do

10.8yards a carry
With the ball

More carries for D. Brooks

Runs by D. Brooks work 53% of the time (8 of 15, 10.8 yards a carry). Southern Miss lets runs work 48% of the time (all teams 45%).

27%Southern Miss allows 35%
With the ball

Southern Miss takes away the run on 2nd and medium

Louisiana Tech's runs on 2nd and medium work 27% of the time (3 of 11), and Southern Miss holds them to 35% (7 of 20). All teams: 49%.

67%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away K. Saunders

Small sample

E. Hampton to K. Saunders works 67% of the time (8 of 12 throws, 9 caught, 12.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 40%.

29%Louisiana Tech allows on 2nd and long
On defense

Shore up the run defense on 2nd and long

Southern Miss's runs on 2nd and long work 53% of the time (9 of 17), and Louisiana Tech has let them work 29% (7 of 24). All teams: 31%.

Tale of the tape

Louisiana Tech Southern Miss
36%127th of 137 Plays that work on offense 62nd of 13744%
36%121st of 137 Runs that work 57th of 13747%
36%118th of 137 Passes that work 77th of 13742%
32%112th of 137 Third downs converted 134th of 13726%
13%57th of 137 Big plays on offense 91st of 13711%
23%125th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 30th of 13713%
2.0384th of 137 Points per drive 89th of 1371.98
39%48th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 114th of 13746%
40%96th of 137 Third downs allowed 121st of 13746%
10%12th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 60th of 1377%
5%70th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 64th of 1375%
20%18th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 133rd of 13710%
2.36111th of 137 Points per drive allowed 132nd of 1372.83

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Louisiana Tech's 4 games and Southern Miss's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Louisiana Tech Southern Miss

    Talking points

    This season

    20%of snaps wrecked by the defense
    Offense

    Keep the defense out of the backfield

    20% of Louisiana Tech's snaps end in a loss, a pass broken up or a turnover, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 132nd of 137.

    30%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, Louisiana Tech's plays work 30% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 124th of 132.

    10.8yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for D. Brooks

    Runs by D. Brooks work 53% of the time (8 of 15, 10.8 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 29% (12 of 41).

    2.36points per drive allowed
    Defense

    Get stops

    Opponents score 2.36 points per drive against Louisiana Tech, against 2.07 for all teams. That ranks 111th of 137.

    73%of third and short converted against them
    Defense

    Get off the field on third and short

    Small sample

    Opponents convert third and short 73% of the time (8 of 11), against about 62% for all teams.

    All of Louisiana Tech's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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