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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball UL Monroe 0
Loading Week 9, 2026
Has the ball Southern Miss 0
Field position UL MONROE SOUTHERN MISS 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
UL Monroe0.00.00.00.00.0
Southern Miss0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Southern Miss 60%, by about 4
40% UL MonroeSouthern Miss 60%

What UL Monroe needs to do

6.8yards a carry
With the ball

More carries for D. Jameson

Runs by D. Jameson work 59% of the time (10 of 17, 6.8 yards a carry). Southern Miss lets runs work 48% of the time (all teams 45%).

7%of dropbacks end in a sack
With the ball

Keep A. Armenta clean

A. Armenta has been sacked on 7% of dropbacks (10 of 148), and Southern Miss gets a sack on 7%. All teams: 5%.

25%Southern Miss allows 35%
With the ball

Southern Miss takes away the run on 2nd and medium

UL Monroe's runs on 2nd and medium work 25% of the time (2 of 8), and Southern Miss holds them to 35% (7 of 20). All teams: 49%.

67%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away K. Saunders

Small sample

E. Hampton to K. Saunders works 67% of the time (8 of 12 throws, 9 caught, 12.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 40%.

47%UL Monroe allows on 2nd and long
On defense

Shore up the run defense on 2nd and long

Southern Miss's runs on 2nd and long work 53% of the time (9 of 17), and UL Monroe has let them work 47% (16 of 34). All teams: 31%.

Tale of the tape

UL Monroe Southern Miss
44%67th of 138 Plays that work on offense 61st of 13844%
46%62nd of 138 Runs that work 57th of 13847%
42%80th of 138 Passes that work 77th of 13842%
35%107th of 138 Third downs converted 135th of 13826%
11%108th of 138 Big plays on offense 91st of 13811%
19%105th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 31st of 13813%
2.0880th of 138 Points per drive 89th of 1381.98
52%136th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 115th of 13846%
52%135th of 138 Third downs allowed 122nd of 13846%
4%116th of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 61st of 1387%
7%92nd of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 65th of 1385%
10%135th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 134th of 13810%
2.89134th of 138 Points per drive allowed 133rd of 1382.83

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using UL Monroe's 5 games and Southern Miss's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    UL Monroe Southern Miss

    Talking points

    This season

    47%of short yardage runs converted
    Offense

    Convert short yardage

    UL Monroe converts 47% of its runs on third or fourth and 2 or less, against 71% for all teams. That ranks 123rd of 131.

    68%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to M. Jackson

    A. Armenta to M. Jackson works 68% of the time (17 of 25 throws, 20 caught, 8.1 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 37%. He gets 19% of the targets.

    18%of snaps wrecked by the defense
    Offense

    Keep the defense out of the backfield

    18% of UL Monroe's snaps end in a loss, a pass broken up or a turnover, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 123rd of 138.

    45%of passing downs work against it
    Defense

    Finish passing downs

    Opponents' plays work 45% of the time on passing downs against UL Monroe (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 138th of 138.

    10%of snaps end in a havoc play
    Defense

    Make more plays behind the line

    UL Monroe wrecks 10% of opponents' snaps with a loss, a break-up or a takeaway, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 135th of 138.

    All of UL Monroe's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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