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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Middle Tennessee 0
Loading Week 9, 2026
Has the ball Kennesaw State 0
Field position MIDDLE TENNESSEE KENNESAW STATE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Middle Tennessee0.00.00.00.00.0
Kennesaw State0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Kennesaw State 65%, by about 5
35% Middle TennesseeKennesaw State 65%

What Middle Tennessee needs to do

60%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to N. Clifton

R. Gagliano to N. Clifton works 60% of the time (9 of 15 throws, 9 caught, 6.8 yards a throw). Kennesaw State lets passes work 49% of the time (all teams 43%).

38%Kennesaw State allows 45%
With the ball

Kennesaw State takes away the run on 2nd and medium

Middle Tennessee's runs on 2nd and medium work 38% of the time (3 of 8), and Kennesaw State holds them to 45% (5 of 11). All teams: 50%.

39%Kennesaw State allows 36%
With the ball

Run on 2nd and long

Middle Tennessee's runs on 2nd and long work 39% of the time (7 of 18), and Kennesaw State lets them work 36% (8 of 22). All teams: 31%.

53%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away Z. Booker

R. Collins to Z. Booker works 53% of the time (9 of 17 throws, 13 caught, 6.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 39%.

82%Middle Tennessee allows on 3rd and short
On defense

Shore up the run defense on 3rd and short

Kennesaw State's runs on 3rd and short work 100% of the time (9 of 9), and Middle Tennessee has let them work 82% (9 of 11). All teams: 69%.

Tale of the tape

Middle Tennessee Kennesaw State
41%103rd of 137 Plays that work on offense 51st of 13745%
44%79th of 137 Runs that work 23rd of 13750%
38%101st of 137 Passes that work 88th of 13741%
28%131st of 137 Third downs converted 71st of 13740%
11%97th of 137 Big plays on offense 39th of 13714%
15%65th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 128th of 13723%
1.8499th of 137 Points per drive 113th of 1371.62
49%129th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 119th of 13747%
37%66th of 137 Third downs allowed 64th of 13737%
2%134th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 131st of 1372%
4%41st of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 10th of 1372%
9%137th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 136th of 1379%
2.41114th of 137 Points per drive allowed 88th of 1372.03

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Middle Tennessee's 5 games and Kennesaw State's 4 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Middle Tennessee Kennesaw State

    Talking points

    This season

    35%of middle eight plays work
    Offense

    Own the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, Middle Tennessee's plays work 35% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 119th of 137.

    33%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, Middle Tennessee's plays work 33% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 113th of 132.

    8.2yards to go on an average third down
    Offense

    Win first down to shorten third

    Third downs average 8.2 yards to go, against 7.0 for all teams. First-down plays work 46% of the time (55 of 120).

    9%of snaps end in a havoc play
    Defense

    Make more plays behind the line

    Middle Tennessee wrecks 9% of opponents' snaps with a loss, a break-up or a takeaway, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 137th of 137.

    56%of runs gain 4 or more
    Defense

    Close the creases

    56% of opponents' runs gain 4 yards or more against Middle Tennessee, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 129th of 137.

    All of Middle Tennessee's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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