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Has the ball Louisiana Tech 0
Loading Week 12, 2026
Has the ball Arkansas State 0
Field position LOUISIANA TECH ARKANSAS STATE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Louisiana Tech0.00.00.00.00.0
Arkansas State0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Louisiana Tech 77%, by about 11
77% Louisiana TechArkansas State 23%

What Louisiana Tech needs to do

10.8yards a carry
With the ball

More carries for D. Brooks

Runs by D. Brooks work 53% of the time (8 of 15, 10.8 yards a carry). Arkansas State lets runs work 48% of the time (all teams 45%).

27%Arkansas State allows 35%
With the ball

Arkansas State takes away the run on 2nd and medium

Louisiana Tech's runs on 2nd and medium work 27% of the time (3 of 11), and Arkansas State holds them to 35% (6 of 17). All teams: 49%.

42%Arkansas State allows 52%
With the ball

Throw on 2nd and long

Louisiana Tech's passes on 2nd and long work 42% of the time (8 of 19), and Arkansas State lets them work 52% (13 of 25). All teams: 39%.

67%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away H. Summers

T. Owens to H. Summers works 67% of the time (18 of 27 throws, 19 caught, 9.6 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 40%.

73%Louisiana Tech allows on 2nd and medium
On defense

Shore up the run defense on 2nd and medium

Arkansas State's runs on 2nd and medium work 42% of the time (5 of 12), and Louisiana Tech has let them work 73% (11 of 15). All teams: 49%.

Tale of the tape

Louisiana Tech Arkansas State
36%128th of 138 Plays that work on offense 41st of 13846%
36%122nd of 138 Runs that work 43rd of 13848%
36%119th of 138 Passes that work 47th of 13846%
32%113th of 138 Third downs converted 38th of 13845%
13%56th of 138 Big plays on offense 78th of 13812%
23%125th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 66th of 13815%
2.0384th of 138 Points per drive 105th of 1381.72
39%48th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 126th of 13847%
40%97th of 138 Third downs allowed 133rd of 13851%
10%12th of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 130th of 1383%
5%71st of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 68th of 1385%
20%18th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 132nd of 13811%
2.36112th of 138 Points per drive allowed 105th of 1382.27

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Louisiana Tech's 4 games and Arkansas State's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Louisiana Tech Arkansas State

    Talking points

    This season

    20%of snaps wrecked by the defense
    Offense

    Keep the defense out of the backfield

    20% of Louisiana Tech's snaps end in a loss, a pass broken up or a turnover, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 133rd of 138.

    30%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, Louisiana Tech's plays work 30% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 124th of 133.

    10.8yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for D. Brooks

    Runs by D. Brooks work 53% of the time (8 of 15, 10.8 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 29% (12 of 41).

    2.36points per drive allowed
    Defense

    Get stops

    Opponents score 2.36 points per drive against Louisiana Tech, against 2.07 for all teams. That ranks 112th of 138.

    73%of third and short converted against them
    Defense

    Get off the field on third and short

    Small sample

    Opponents convert third and short 73% of the time (8 of 11), against about 62% for all teams.

    All of Louisiana Tech's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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