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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball App State 0
Loading Week 8, 2026
Has the ball James Madison 0
Field position APP STATE JAMES MADISON 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
App State0.00.00.00.00.0
James Madison0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: James Madison 81%, by about 13
19% App StateJames Madison 81%

What App State needs to do

64%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to S. Pickett III

M. Singleton to S. Pickett III works 64% of the time (16 of 25 throws, 19 caught, 12.2 yards a throw). James Madison lets passes work 34% of the time (all teams 43%).

33%James Madison allows 33%
With the ball

James Madison takes away the run on 2nd and medium

App State's runs on 2nd and medium work 33% of the time (4 of 12), and James Madison holds them to 33% (3 of 9). All teams: 49%.

44%James Madison allows 69%
With the ball

Throw on 3rd and medium

App State's passes on 3rd and medium work 44% of the time (4 of 9), and James Madison lets them work 69% (9 of 13). All teams: 42%.

71%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away C. Keller

Small sample

C. Coleman to C. Keller works 71% of the time (10 of 14 throws, 11 caught, 9.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 42%.

89%App State allows on 2nd and short
On defense

Shore up the run defense on 2nd and short

James Madison's runs on 2nd and short work 78% of the time (7 of 9), and App State has let them work 89% (8 of 9). All teams: 68%.

Tale of the tape

App State James Madison
43%83rd of 137 Plays that work on offense 42nd of 13746%
35%126th of 137 Runs that work 48th of 13747%
50%22nd of 137 Passes that work 55th of 13745%
40%78th of 137 Third downs converted 80th of 13739%
13%54th of 137 Big plays on offense 103rd of 13711%
23%129th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 36th of 13713%
2.3761st of 137 Points per drive 30th of 1372.85
43%84th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 12th of 13733%
34%46th of 137 Third downs allowed 91st of 13740%
4%114th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 29th of 1378%
3%20th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 36th of 1374%
16%54th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 44th of 13717%
1.9572nd of 137 Points per drive allowed 16th of 1371.18

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using App State's 4 games and James Madison's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    App State James Madison

    Talking points

    This season

    23%of runs stuffed
    Offense

    Too many runs go nowhere

    23% of App State's runs are stopped for no gain or a loss, against 16% for all teams. That ranks 129th of 137.

    70%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 2nd & 4-6

    On 2nd & 4-6 they run 55% of the time, but runs work 33% (4 of 12) and passes work 70% (7 of 10).

    45%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they run 49% of the time, but runs work 27% (14 of 52) and passes work 45% (25 of 55).

    51%of middle eight plays work against it
    Defense

    Hold the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, opponents' plays work 51% of the time against App State, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 119th of 137.

    11%all teams 31%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 2nd and long

    Opponents' runs on 2nd and long (7 or more) work 11% of the time, against 31% for all teams (2 of 18 plays).

    All of App State's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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