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Has the ball Baylor 0
Loading Week 3, 2026
Has the ball Louisiana Tech 0
Field position BAYLOR LOUISIANA TECH 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Baylor0.00.00.00.00.0
Louisiana Tech0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Baylor Louisiana Tech

    Talking points

    This season

    82%runs that work
    Offense

    Run it more on 2nd & 4-6

    On 2nd & 4-6 they throw 56% of the time, but passes work 36% (5 of 14) and runs work 82% (9 of 11).

    3.9yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for D. Pendergrass

    Runs by D. Pendergrass work 51% of the time (33 of 65, 3.9 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 37% (29 of 78).

    37%of middle eight plays work
    Offense

    Own the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, Baylor's plays work 37% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 109th of 137.

    34%all teams 49%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 1st and long

    Opponents' passes on 1st and long (7 or more) work 34% of the time, against 49% for all teams (22 of 64 plays).

    9%all teams 31%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 2nd and long

    Opponents' runs on 2nd and long (7 or more) work 9% of the time, against 31% for all teams (2 of 23 plays).

    All of Baylor's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: Baylor 80%, by about 12
    80% BaylorLouisiana Tech 20%

    What Baylor needs to do

    82%Louisiana Tech allows 73%
    With the ball

    Run on 2nd and medium

    Baylor's runs on 2nd and medium work 82% of the time (9 of 11), and Louisiana Tech lets them work 73% (11 of 15). All teams: 49%.

    56%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to J. Porter

    D. Lagway to J. Porter works 56% of the time (9 of 16 throws, 9 caught, 10.8 yards a throw). Louisiana Tech lets passes work 41% of the time (all teams 43%).

    4%of dropbacks end in a sack
    With the ball

    Keep D. Lagway clean

    D. Lagway has been sacked on 4% of dropbacks (8 of 182), and Louisiana Tech gets a sack on 10%. All teams: 5%.

    50%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away T. Shettron

    Small sample

    T. Kukuk to T. Shettron works 50% of the time (6 of 12 throws, 7 caught, 8.7 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 34%.

    22%Baylor allows on 2nd and medium
    On defense

    Win 2nd and medium against the run

    Louisiana Tech's runs on 2nd and medium work 27% of the time (3 of 11), and Baylor holds them to 22% (2 of 9). All teams: 49%.

    Tale of the tape

    Baylor Louisiana Tech
    42%94th of 137 Plays that work on offense 127th of 13736%
    44%78th of 137 Runs that work 121st of 13736%
    40%91st of 137 Passes that work 118th of 13736%
    43%52nd of 137 Third downs converted 112th of 13732%
    12%76th of 137 Big plays on offense 57th of 13713%
    17%95th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 125th of 13723%
    2.4852nd of 137 Points per drive 84th of 1372.03
    33%11th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 49th of 13739%
    38%75th of 137 Third downs allowed 96th of 13740%
    8%41st of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 12th of 13710%
    4%47th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 70th of 1375%
    21%8th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 18th of 13720%
    1.2122nd of 137 Points per drive allowed 111th of 1372.36

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Baylor's 5 games and Louisiana Tech's 4 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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