nextsnap
About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Florida International 0
Loading Week 2, 2026
Has the ball Buffalo 0
Field position FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL BUFFALO 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Florida International0.00.00.00.00.0
Buffalo0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Florida International Buffalo

    Talking points

    This season

    23%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, Florida International's plays work 23% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 132nd of 132.

    1.05points per drive
    Offense

    Turn drives into points

    Florida International scores 1.05 points per drive, against 2.07 for all teams. That ranks 134th of 137.

    44%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they run 52% of the time, but runs work 24% (14 of 59) and passes work 44% (24 of 54).

    20%all teams 50%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 2nd and medium

    Small sample

    Opponents' runs on 2nd and medium (4-6) work 20% of the time, against 50% for all teams (2 of 10 plays).

    29%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 29% of the time, against 41% for all teams (14 of 49 plays).

    All of Florida International's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: Florida International 92%, by about 19
    92% Florida InternationalBuffalo 8%

    What Florida International needs to do

    67%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to T. Carter

    Small sample

    J. Kohl to T. Carter works 67% of the time (8 of 12 throws, 9 caught, 12.8 yards a throw). Buffalo lets passes work 37% of the time (all teams 43%).

    27%Buffalo allows 5%
    With the ball

    Buffalo takes away the run on 2nd and long

    Florida International's runs on 2nd and long work 27% of the time (9 of 33), and Buffalo holds them to 5% (1 of 22). All teams: 31%.

    47%Buffalo allows 54%
    With the ball

    Throw on 3rd and medium

    Florida International's passes on 3rd and medium work 47% of the time (7 of 15), and Buffalo lets them work 54% (7 of 13). All teams: 42%.

    50%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away T. Wilson

    Small sample

    J. Wright to T. Wilson works 50% of the time (4 of 8 throws, 5 caught, 6.5 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 32%.

    20%Florida International allows on 2nd and medium
    On defense

    Win 2nd and medium against the run

    Buffalo's runs on 2nd and medium work 36% of the time (8 of 22), and Florida International holds them to 20% (2 of 10). All teams: 50%.

    Tale of the tape

    Florida International Buffalo
    38%117th of 137 Plays that work on offense 131st of 13735%
    32%135th of 137 Runs that work 116th of 13738%
    44%65th of 137 Passes that work 130th of 13733%
    46%36th of 137 Third downs converted 102nd of 13736%
    12%81st of 137 Big plays on offense 128th of 1379%
    19%104th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 61st of 13715%
    1.05134th of 137 Points per drive 120th of 1371.48
    34%15th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 39th of 13738%
    30%19th of 137 Third downs allowed 57th of 13736%
    8%39th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 116th of 1374%
    2%9th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 89th of 1377%
    17%34th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 51st of 13717%
    1.2223rd of 137 Points per drive allowed 55th of 1371.79

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Florida International's 4 games and Buffalo's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

    Next Snap just launched. If a page takes a moment to load the first time, give it a few seconds. It speeds right up after that.