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Has the ball Buffalo 0
Loading Week 1, 2026
Has the ball UAlbany 0
Field position BUFFALO UALBANY 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Buffalo0.00.00.00.00.0
UAlbany0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Buffalo UAlbany

    Talking points

    This season

    35%of available yards gained
    Offense

    Finish what the drive starts

    Buffalo gains 35% of the yards between its starting spot and the end zone, against 47% for all teams. That ranks 133rd of 137.

    23%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    Buffalo's plays work only 23% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 124th of 137.

    52%of deep throws work
    Offense

    Take more shots downfield

    Deep throws: 12 of 23 caught, working 52% of the time. Short throws: 71 of 130 caught, working 32%.

    5%all teams 31%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 2nd and long

    Opponents' runs on 2nd and long (7 or more) work 5% of the time, against 31% for all teams (1 of 22 plays).

    40%all teams 49%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 1st and long

    Opponents' passes on 1st and long (7 or more) work 40% of the time, against 49% for all teams (21 of 52 plays).

    All of Buffalo's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: Buffalo 70%, by about 7
    70% BuffaloUAlbany 30%

    What Buffalo needs to do

    3.1yards a carry
    With the ball

    More carries for N. Hill

    Runs by N. Hill work 45% of the time (17 of 38, 3.1 yards a carry). UAlbany lets runs work 41% of the time (all teams 45%).

    38%UAlbany allows 31%
    With the ball

    UAlbany takes away the pass on 1st and long

    Buffalo's passes on 1st and long work 38% of the time (20 of 53), and UAlbany holds them to 31% (4 of 13). All teams: 49%.

    40%Buffalo allows on 1st and long
    On defense

    Win 1st and long against the pass

    UAlbany's passes on 1st and long work 17% of the time (2 of 12), and Buffalo holds them to 40% (21 of 52). All teams: 49%.

    Tale of the tape

    Buffalo UAlbany
    35%131st of 137 Plays that work on offense 29%
    38%116th of 137 Runs that work 36%
    33%130th of 137 Passes that work 25%
    36%102nd of 137 Third downs converted 26%
    9%128th of 137 Big plays on offense 7%
    15%61st of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 29%
    1.48120th of 137 Points per drive 1.21
    38%39th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 40%
    36%57th of 137 Third downs allowed 48%
    4%116th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 2%
    7%89th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 7%
    17%51st of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 13%
    1.7955th of 137 Points per drive allowed 1.62

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Buffalo's 5 games and UAlbany's 1 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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