nextsnap
About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball San José State 0
Loading Week 12, 2026
Has the ball UNLV 0
Field position SAN JOSÉ STATE UNLV 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
San José State0.00.00.00.00.0
UNLV0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: UNLV 76%, by about 10
24% San José StateUNLV 76%

What San José State needs to do

70%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to J. Nix

Small sample

L. Weaver to J. Nix works 70% of the time (7 of 10 throws, 8 caught, 9.0 yards a throw). UNLV lets passes work 32% of the time (all teams 43%).

6%of dropbacks end in a sack
With the ball

Keep L. Weaver clean

L. Weaver has been sacked on 6% of dropbacks (12 of 203), and UNLV gets a sack on 8%. All teams: 5%.

30%UNLV allows 28%
With the ball

UNLV takes away the pass on 2nd and long

San José State's passes on 2nd and long work 30% of the time (13 of 43), and UNLV holds them to 28% (14 of 50). All teams: 38%.

64%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away K. McGee

Small sample

J. Arnold to K. McGee works 64% of the time (9 of 14 throws, 11 caught, 16.5 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 36%.

9%of UNLV dropbacks end in a sack
On defense

Get to the quarterback

UNLV's quarterback has been sacked on 9% of dropbacks (14 of 157). San José State gets a sack on 7%. All teams: 5%.

Tale of the tape

San José State UNLV
39%116th of 138 Plays that work on offense 126th of 13837%
35%128th of 138 Runs that work 123rd of 13836%
43%66th of 138 Passes that work 105th of 13838%
31%122nd of 138 Third downs converted 73rd of 13840%
11%98th of 138 Big plays on offense 59th of 13813%
18%103rd of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 56th of 13815%
1.38122nd of 138 Points per drive 106th of 1381.72
44%94th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 41st of 13838%
34%44th of 138 Third downs allowed 65th of 13837%
7%52nd of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 38th of 1388%
6%81st of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 115th of 1389%
16%68th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 30th of 13818%
1.7649th of 138 Points per drive allowed 35th of 1381.53

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using San José State's 6 games and UNLV's 6 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    San José State UNLV

    Talking points

    This season

    32%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, San José State's plays work 32% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 126th of 135.

    23%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    San José State's plays work only 23% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 125th of 138.

    49%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they run 50% of the time, but runs work 33% (26 of 78) and passes work 49% (38 of 77).

    13%of opponents' runs stuffed
    Defense

    Win more first contact

    San José State stuffs only 13% of opponents' runs for no gain, against 16% for all teams. That ranks 115th of 138.

    48%of red zone plays work against it
    Defense

    Tighten up in the red zone

    Inside the 20, opponents' plays work 48% of the time against San José State, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 107th of 134.

    All of San José State's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.