nextsnap
About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Air Force 0
Loading Week 11, 2026
Has the ball San José State 0
Field position AIR FORCE SAN JOSÉ STATE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Air Force0.00.00.00.00.0
San José State0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Air Force 93%, by about 21
93% Air ForceSan José State 7%

What Air Force needs to do

6.8yards a carry
With the ball

More carries for K. Hodges

Runs by K. Hodges work 58% of the time (11 of 19, 6.8 yards a carry). San José State lets runs work 48% of the time (all teams 45%).

12%San José State allows 40%
With the ball

San José State takes away the pass on 2nd and long

Air Force's passes on 2nd and long work 12% of the time (1 of 8), and San José State holds them to 40% (19 of 47). All teams: 39%.

81%San José State allows 78%
With the ball

Run on 3rd and short

Air Force's runs on 3rd and short work 81% of the time (17 of 21), and San José State lets them work 78% (7 of 9). All teams: 69%.

56%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away C. Hoch

L. Weaver to C. Hoch works 56% of the time (15 of 27 throws, 18 caught, 10.1 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 39%.

18%Air Force allows on 2nd and long
On defense

Force San José State into 2nd and long

San José State's passes on 2nd and long work 30% of the time (11 of 37), and Air Force holds them to 18% (4 of 22). All teams: 39%.

Tale of the tape

Air Force San José State
45%54th of 137 Plays that work on offense 120th of 13738%
46%59th of 137 Runs that work 131st of 13734%
38%102nd of 137 Passes that work 84th of 13742%
47%28th of 137 Third downs converted 123rd of 13730%
13%64th of 137 Big plays on offense 99th of 13711%
11%16th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 106th of 13719%
2.3860th of 137 Points per drive 125th of 1371.39
35%21st of 137 Plays that work against the defense 97th of 13744%
28%8th of 137 Third downs allowed 67th of 13737%
6%68th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 94th of 1375%
4%45th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 63rd of 1375%
14%99th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 86th of 13714%
1.9572nd of 137 Points per drive allowed 55th of 1371.79

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Air Force's 4 games and San José State's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Air Force San José State

    Talking points

    This season

    23%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    Air Force's plays work only 23% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 123rd of 137.

    6.8yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for K. Hodges

    Runs by K. Hodges work 58% of the time (11 of 19, 6.8 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 40% (43 of 108).

    4 of 6third and fourth downs converted
    Offense

    A. Hrynciw on third down

    Small sample

    On third and fourth down, L. Szarka to A. Hrynciw has moved the chains 4 of 6 times (67%).

    60%of third and medium converted against them
    Defense

    Get off the field on third and medium

    Small sample

    Opponents convert third and medium 60% of the time (6 of 10), against about 44% for all teams.

    9%all teams 31%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 2nd and long

    Opponents' runs on 2nd and long (7 or more) work 9% of the time, against 31% for all teams (2 of 22 plays).

    All of Air Force's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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