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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Wyoming 0
Loading Week 8, 2026
Has the ball Air Force 0
Field position WYOMING AIR FORCE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Wyoming0.00.00.00.00.0
Air Force0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Air Force 90%, by about 18
10% WyomingAir Force 90%

What Wyoming needs to do

5.8yards a carry
With the ball

More carries for M. Holman

Runs by M. Holman work 51% of the time (21 of 41, 5.8 yards a carry). Air Force lets runs work 38% of the time (all teams 45%).

7%of dropbacks end in a sack
With the ball

Keep T. Hughes clean

T. Hughes has been sacked on 7% of dropbacks (8 of 117), and Air Force gets a sack on 6%. All teams: 5%.

23%Air Force allows 9%
With the ball

Air Force takes away the run on 2nd and long

Wyoming's runs on 2nd and long work 23% of the time (9 of 39), and Air Force holds them to 9% (2 of 22). All teams: 31%.

50%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away A. Hrynciw

Small sample

L. Szarka to A. Hrynciw works 50% of the time (4 of 8 throws, 4 caught, 10.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 36%.

12%Wyoming allows on 3rd and medium
On defense

Win 3rd and medium against the run

Air Force's runs on 3rd and medium work 40% of the time (4 of 10), and Wyoming holds them to 12% (1 of 8). All teams: 45%.

Tale of the tape

Wyoming Air Force
43%79th of 137 Plays that work on offense 54th of 13745%
46%60th of 137 Runs that work 59th of 13746%
39%94th of 137 Passes that work 102nd of 13738%
35%106th of 137 Third downs converted 28th of 13747%
14%37th of 137 Big plays on offense 64th of 13713%
12%23rd of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 16th of 13711%
1.54116th of 137 Points per drive 60th of 1372.38
46%116th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 21st of 13735%
40%92nd of 137 Third downs allowed 8th of 13728%
6%80th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 68th of 1376%
7%94th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 45th of 1374%
14%89th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 99th of 13714%
1.9880th of 137 Points per drive allowed 72nd of 1371.95

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Wyoming's 5 games and Air Force's 4 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Wyoming Air Force

    Talking points

    This season

    100%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to K. Frendt

    Small sample

    T. Hughes to K. Frendt works 100% of the time (8 of 8 throws, 8 caught, 19.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 35%. He gets 8% of the targets.

    1.54points per drive
    Offense

    Turn drives into points

    Wyoming scores 1.54 points per drive, against 2.07 for all teams. That ranks 116th of 137.

    43%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 2nd & 7+

    On 2nd & 7+ they run 74% of the time, but runs work 23% (9 of 39) and passes work 43% (6 of 14).

    54%of runs gain 4 or more
    Defense

    Close the creases

    54% of opponents' runs gain 4 yards or more against Wyoming, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 121st of 137.

    50%of opponents' runs work
    Defense

    Tighten up against the run

    Opponents' runs work 50% of the time (89 of 179), against 45% for all teams.

    All of Wyoming's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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