nextsnap
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Has the ball Nevada 0
Loading Week 4, 2026
Has the ball Air Force 0
Field position NEVADA AIR FORCE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Nevada0.00.00.00.00.0
Air Force0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Nevada Air Force

    Talking points

    This season

    29%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, Nevada's plays work 29% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 130th of 135.

    54%of short yardage runs converted
    Offense

    Convert short yardage

    Small sample

    Nevada converts 54% of its runs on third or fourth and 2 or less, against 71% for all teams. That ranks 124th of 134.

    52%runs that work
    Offense

    Run it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they throw 43% of the time, but passes work 34% (20 of 58) and runs work 52% (40 of 77).

    13%of snaps end in a havoc play
    Defense

    Make more plays behind the line

    Nevada wrecks 13% of opponents' snaps with a loss, a break-up or a takeaway, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 121st of 138.

    52%of runs gain 4 or more
    Defense

    Close the creases

    52% of opponents' runs gain 4 yards or more against Nevada, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 109th of 138.

    All of Nevada's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: Air Force 90%, by about 19
    10% NevadaAir Force 90%

    What Nevada needs to do

    42%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to D. Kelley

    Small sample

    C. Jones to D. Kelley works 42% of the time (5 of 12 throws, 7 caught, 5.8 yards a throw). Air Force lets passes work 35% of the time (all teams 43%).

    25%Air Force allows 17%
    With the ball

    Air Force takes away the pass on 2nd and long

    Nevada's passes on 2nd and long work 25% of the time (6 of 24), and Air Force holds them to 17% (4 of 24). All teams: 38%.

    52%Air Force allows 41%
    With the ball

    Run on 1st and long

    Nevada's runs on 1st and long work 52% of the time (40 of 77), and Air Force lets them work 41% (28 of 69). All teams: 41%.

    50%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away A. Hrynciw

    Small sample

    L. Szarka to A. Hrynciw works 50% of the time (4 of 8 throws, 4 caught, 10.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 34%.

    24%Nevada allows on 2nd and long
    On defense

    Force Air Force into 2nd and long

    Air Force's passes on 2nd and long work 12% of the time (1 of 8), and Nevada holds them to 24% (8 of 34). All teams: 38%.

    Tale of the tape

    Nevada Air Force
    41%93rd of 138 Plays that work on offense 23rd of 13849%
    49%29th of 138 Runs that work 16th of 13851%
    31%132nd of 138 Passes that work 113th of 13837%
    37%94th of 138 Third downs converted 12th of 13852%
    13%48th of 138 Big plays on offense 37th of 13814%
    17%91st of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 4th of 1389%
    2.0480th of 138 Points per drive 47th of 1382.62
    40%58th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 31st of 13837%
    29%11th of 138 Third downs allowed 11th of 13829%
    8%32nd of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 73rd of 1386%
    5%59th of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 84th of 1386%
    13%121st of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 103rd of 13814%
    1.8766th of 138 Points per drive allowed 55th of 1381.81

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Nevada's 5 games and Air Force's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.