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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Air Force 0
Loading Week 1, 2026
Has the ball Duquesne 0
Field position AIR FORCE DUQUESNE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Air Force0.00.00.00.00.0
Duquesne0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Air Force Duquesne

    Talking points

    This season

    23%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    Air Force's plays work only 23% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 123rd of 137.

    6.8yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for K. Hodges

    Runs by K. Hodges work 58% of the time (11 of 19, 6.8 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 40% (43 of 108).

    4 of 6third and fourth downs converted
    Offense

    A. Hrynciw on third down

    Small sample

    On third and fourth down, L. Szarka to A. Hrynciw has moved the chains 4 of 6 times (67%).

    60%of third and medium converted against them
    Defense

    Get off the field on third and medium

    Small sample

    Opponents convert third and medium 60% of the time (6 of 10), against about 44% for all teams.

    9%all teams 31%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 2nd and long

    Opponents' runs on 2nd and long (7 or more) work 9% of the time, against 31% for all teams (2 of 22 plays).

    All of Air Force's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: Air Force 98%, by about 33
    98% Air ForceDuquesne 2%

    What Air Force needs to do

    6.8yards a carry
    With the ball

    More carries for K. Hodges

    Runs by K. Hodges work 58% of the time (11 of 19, 6.8 yards a carry). Duquesne lets runs work 56% of the time (all teams 45%).

    43%Duquesne allows 88%
    With the ball

    Throw on 1st and long

    Air Force's passes on 1st and long work 43% of the time (6 of 14), and Duquesne lets them work 88% (7 of 8). All teams: 49%.

    12%Duquesne allows 38%
    With the ball

    Duquesne takes away the pass on 2nd and long

    Air Force's passes on 2nd and long work 12% of the time (1 of 8), and Duquesne holds them to 38% (3 of 8). All teams: 39%.

    38%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away R. Petras

    Small sample

    C. Camp to R. Petras works 38% of the time (3 of 8 throws, 5 caught, 7.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 12%.

    18%Air Force allows on 2nd and long
    On defense

    Force Duquesne into 2nd and long

    Duquesne's passes on 2nd and long work 0% of the time (0 of 11), and Air Force holds them to 18% (4 of 22). All teams: 39%.

    Tale of the tape

    Air Force Duquesne
    45%54th of 137 Plays that work on offense 26%
    46%59th of 137 Runs that work 32%
    38%102nd of 137 Passes that work 18%
    47%28th of 137 Third downs converted 28%
    13%64th of 137 Big plays on offense 7%
    11%16th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 20%
    2.3860th of 137 Points per drive 0.44
    35%21st of 137 Plays that work against the defense 55%
    28%8th of 137 Third downs allowed 60%
    6%68th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 0%
    4%45th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 6%
    14%99th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 8%
    1.9572nd of 137 Points per drive allowed 3.44

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Air Force's 4 games and Duquesne's 2 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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