nextsnap
About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball North Texas 0
Loading Week 10, 2026
Has the ball Rice 0
Field position NORTH TEXAS RICE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
North Texas0.00.00.00.00.0
Rice0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: North Texas 84%, by about 14
84% North TexasRice 16%

What North Texas needs to do

62%Rice allows 80%
With the ball

Throw on 3rd and medium

North Texas's passes on 3rd and medium work 62% of the time (5 of 8), and Rice lets them work 80% (8 of 10). All teams: 42%.

7.1yards a carry
With the ball

More carries for J. White

Runs by J. White work 47% of the time (38 of 81, 7.1 yards a carry). Rice lets runs work 46% of the time (all teams 45%).

62%Rice allows 58%
With the ball

Rice takes away the run on 3rd and short

North Texas's runs on 3rd and short work 62% of the time (5 of 8), and Rice holds them to 58% (7 of 12). All teams: 69%.

50%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away J. Clark

Small sample

J. Brown to J. Clark works 50% of the time (7 of 14 throws, 10 caught, 6.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 25%.

10%of Rice dropbacks end in a sack
On defense

Get to the quarterback

Rice's quarterback has been sacked on 10% of dropbacks (7 of 71). North Texas gets a sack on 5%. All teams: 5%.

Tale of the tape

North Texas Rice
48%28th of 137 Plays that work on offense 88th of 13742%
42%96th of 137 Runs that work 54th of 13747%
54%8th of 137 Passes that work 132nd of 13730%
54%9th of 137 Third downs converted 110th of 13734%
17%9th of 137 Big plays on offense 74th of 13712%
15%62nd of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 55th of 13714%
3.1514th of 137 Points per drive 100th of 1371.82
46%115th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 83rd of 13743%
39%85th of 137 Third downs allowed 115th of 13744%
5%98th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 95th of 1375%
2%8th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 125th of 13710%
14%95th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 104th of 13713%
2.80130th of 137 Points per drive allowed 106th of 1372.30

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using North Texas's 5 games and Rice's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    North Texas Rice

    Talking points

    This season

    7.1yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for J. White

    Runs by J. White work 47% of the time (38 of 81, 7.1 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 32% (12 of 37).

    57%of short yardage runs converted
    Offense

    Convert short yardage

    Small sample

    North Texas converts 57% of its runs on third or fourth and 2 or less, against 71% for all teams. That ranks 110th of 130.

    75%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to K. Koch

    Small sample

    T. Jackson to K. Koch works 75% of the time (9 of 12 throws, 10 caught, 13.0 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 53%. He gets 8% of the targets.

    2.80points per drive allowed
    Defense

    Get stops

    Opponents score 2.80 points per drive against North Texas, against 2.07 for all teams. That ranks 130th of 137.

    35%of passing downs work against it
    Defense

    Finish passing downs

    Opponents' plays work 35% of the time on passing downs against North Texas (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 113th of 137.

    All of North Texas's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    Next Snap just launched. If a page takes a moment to load the first time, give it a few seconds. It speeds right up after that.