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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Navy 0
Loading Week 10, 2026
Has the ball Temple 0
Field position NAVY TEMPLE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Navy0.00.00.00.00.0
Temple0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Navy 73%, by about 8
73% NavyTemple 27%

What Navy needs to do

100%Temple allows 88%
With the ball

Run on 2nd and short

Navy's runs on 2nd and short work 100% of the time (8 of 8), and Temple lets them work 88% (7 of 8). All teams: 68%.

36%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to C. Robinson

Small sample

J. Gutierrez to C. Robinson works 36% of the time (4 of 11 throws, 5 caught, 3.2 yards a throw). Temple lets passes work 45% of the time (all teams 43%).

14%of dropbacks end in a sack
With the ball

Keep J. Gutierrez clean

J. Gutierrez has been sacked on 14% of dropbacks (9 of 65), and Temple gets a sack on 3%. All teams: 5%.

53%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away C. Chase

A. Sheppard to C. Chase works 53% of the time (8 of 15 throws, 9 caught, 13.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 34%.

9%of Temple dropbacks end in a sack
On defense

Get to the quarterback

Temple's quarterback has been sacked on 9% of dropbacks (9 of 98). Navy gets a sack on 10%. All teams: 5%.

Tale of the tape

Navy Temple
46%44th of 137 Plays that work on offense 93rd of 13742%
53%9th of 137 Runs that work 70th of 13745%
28%135th of 137 Passes that work 116th of 13737%
35%109th of 137 Third downs converted 56th of 13743%
15%29th of 137 Big plays on offense 16th of 13716%
10%12th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 54th of 13714%
2.0087th of 137 Points per drive 48th of 1372.56
40%57th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 104th of 13744%
47%123rd of 137 Third downs allowed 131st of 13750%
10%15th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 128th of 1373%
14%135th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 118th of 1379%
13%103rd of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 130th of 13711%
1.8562nd of 137 Points per drive allowed 109th of 1372.34

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Navy's 4 games and Temple's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Navy Temple

    Talking points

    This season

    14%of dropbacks end in a sack
    Offense

    Protect the quarterback

    J. Gutierrez has been sacked on 14% of dropbacks (9 of 65), against 5% for all teams.

    19%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    Navy's plays work only 19% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 137th of 137.

    39%of middle eight plays work
    Offense

    Own the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, Navy's plays work 39% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 103rd of 137.

    57%of middle eight plays work against it
    Defense

    Hold the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, opponents' plays work 57% of the time against Navy, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 134th of 137.

    88%of third and short converted against them
    Defense

    Get off the field on third and short

    Opponents convert third and short 88% of the time (14 of 16), against about 62% for all teams.

    All of Navy's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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