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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball UTSA 0
Loading Week 7, 2026
Has the ball Navy 0
Field position UTSA NAVY 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
UTSA0.00.00.00.00.0
Navy0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: UTSA 58%, by about 3
58% UTSANavy 42%

What UTSA needs to do

73%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to M. Anderson

O. McCown to M. Anderson works 73% of the time (16 of 22 throws, 20 caught, 9.5 yards a throw). Navy lets passes work 47% of the time (all teams 43%).

69%Navy allows 93%
With the ball

Run on 3rd and short

UTSA's runs on 3rd and short work 69% of the time (11 of 16), and Navy lets them work 93% (14 of 15). All teams: 69%.

36%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away C. Robinson

Small sample

J. Gutierrez to C. Robinson works 36% of the time (4 of 11 throws, 5 caught, 3.2 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 26%.

14%of Navy dropbacks end in a sack
On defense

Get to the quarterback

Navy's quarterback has been sacked on 14% of dropbacks (9 of 65). UTSA gets a sack on 4%. All teams: 5%.

Tale of the tape

UTSA Navy
45%51st of 137 Plays that work on offense 44th of 13746%
52%12th of 137 Runs that work 9th of 13753%
39%99th of 137 Passes that work 135th of 13728%
35%103rd of 137 Third downs converted 108th of 13735%
10%112th of 137 Big plays on offense 29th of 13715%
16%79th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 12th of 13710%
2.4950th of 137 Points per drive 87th of 1372.00
41%69th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 57th of 13740%
39%79th of 137 Third downs allowed 123rd of 13747%
4%122nd of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 15th of 13710%
3%15th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 135th of 13714%
13%101st of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 103rd of 13713%
1.9678th of 137 Points per drive allowed 62nd of 1371.85

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using UTSA's 5 games and Navy's 4 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    UTSA Navy

    Talking points

    This season

    73%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to M. Anderson

    O. McCown to M. Anderson works 73% of the time (16 of 22 throws, 20 caught, 9.5 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 33%. He gets 15% of the targets.

    31%of middle eight plays work
    Offense

    Own the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, UTSA's plays work 31% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 126th of 137.

    56%runs that work
    Offense

    Run it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they throw 50% of the time, but passes work 39% (24 of 61) and runs work 56% (35 of 62).

    19%all teams 49%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 2nd and medium

    Opponents' runs on 2nd and medium (4-6) work 19% of the time, against 49% for all teams (3 of 16 plays).

    41%all teams 49%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 1st and long

    Opponents' passes on 1st and long (7 or more) work 41% of the time, against 49% for all teams (24 of 59 plays).

    All of UTSA's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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