nextsnap
About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball UAB 0
Loading Week 5, 2026
Has the ball Samford 0
Field position UAB SAMFORD 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
UAB0.00.00.00.00.0
Samford0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    UAB Samford

    Talking points

    This season

    11%of dropbacks end in a sack
    Offense

    Protect the quarterback

    R. Burton has been sacked on 11% of dropbacks (16 of 142), against 5% for all teams.

    64%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to T. Mims

    R. Burton to T. Mims works 64% of the time (14 of 22 throws, 15 caught, 12.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 32%. He gets 18% of the targets.

    33%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, UAB's plays work 33% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 119th of 135.

    11%of opponents' runs stuffed
    Defense

    Win more first contact

    UAB stuffs only 11% of opponents' runs for no gain, against 16% for all teams. That ranks 130th of 138.

    49%of opponents' runs work
    Defense

    Tighten up against the run

    Opponents' runs work 49% of the time (113 of 231), against 45% for all teams.

    All of UAB's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: UAB 89%, by about 19
    89% UABSamford 11%

    What UAB needs to do

    4.4yards a carry
    With the ball

    More carries for J. Simpkins

    Runs by J. Simpkins work 56% of the time (15 of 27, 4.4 yards a carry). Samford lets runs work 55% of the time (all teams 45%).

    48%UAB allows on 1st and long
    On defense

    Win 1st and long against the pass

    Samford's passes on 1st and long work 25% of the time (2 of 8), and UAB holds them to 48% (22 of 46). All teams: 48%.

    50%UAB allows on 1st and long
    On defense

    Shore up the run defense on 1st and long

    Samford's runs on 1st and long work 53% of the time (8 of 15), and UAB has let them work 50% (56 of 112). All teams: 41%.

    Tale of the tape

    UAB Samford
    43%75th of 138 Plays that work on offense 38%
    47%51st of 138 Runs that work 45%
    37%116th of 138 Passes that work 32%
    45%38th of 138 Third downs converted 27%
    10%115th of 138 Big plays on offense 8%
    13%34th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 18%
    2.0779th of 138 Points per drive 0.64
    45%111th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 49%
    40%87th of 138 Third downs allowed 47%
    10%9th of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 10%
    11%134th of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 6%
    14%105th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 13%
    1.9878th of 138 Points per drive allowed 3.00

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using UAB's 6 games and Samford's 1 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.