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Has the ball Rice 0
Loading Week 5, 2026
Has the ball UTSA 0
Field position RICE UTSA 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Rice0.00.00.00.00.0
UTSA0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Rice UTSA

    Talking points

    This season

    24%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    Rice's plays work only 24% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 122nd of 137.

    10%of dropbacks end in a sack
    Offense

    Protect the quarterback

    J. Brown has been sacked on 10% of dropbacks (7 of 71), against 5% for all teams.

    50%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to J. Clark

    Small sample

    J. Brown to J. Clark works 50% of the time (7 of 14 throws, 10 caught, 6.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 25%. He gets 23% of the targets.

    79%of third and medium converted against them
    Defense

    Get off the field on third and medium

    Small sample

    Opponents convert third and medium 79% of the time (11 of 14), against about 44% for all teams.

    2.30points per drive allowed
    Defense

    Get stops

    Opponents score 2.30 points per drive against Rice, against 2.07 for all teams. That ranks 106th of 137.

    All of Rice's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: UTSA 73%, by about 8
    27% RiceUTSA 73%

    What Rice needs to do

    50%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to J. Clark

    Small sample

    J. Brown to J. Clark works 50% of the time (7 of 14 throws, 10 caught, 6.9 yards a throw). UTSA lets passes work 40% of the time (all teams 43%).

    10%of dropbacks end in a sack
    With the ball

    Keep J. Brown clean

    J. Brown has been sacked on 10% of dropbacks (7 of 71), and UTSA gets a sack on 4%. All teams: 5%.

    18%UTSA allows 36%
    With the ball

    UTSA takes away the run on 3rd and medium

    Rice's runs on 3rd and medium work 18% of the time (2 of 11), and UTSA holds them to 36% (4 of 11). All teams: 45%.

    73%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away M. Anderson

    O. McCown to M. Anderson works 73% of the time (16 of 22 throws, 20 caught, 9.5 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 33%.

    12%Rice allows on 3rd and long
    On defense

    Force UTSA into 3rd and long

    UTSA's runs on 3rd and long work 0% of the time (0 of 9), and Rice holds them to 12% (1 of 8). All teams: 23%.

    Tale of the tape

    Rice UTSA
    42%88th of 137 Plays that work on offense 52nd of 13745%
    47%54th of 137 Runs that work 12th of 13752%
    30%132nd of 137 Passes that work 99th of 13739%
    34%110th of 137 Third downs converted 104th of 13735%
    12%74th of 137 Big plays on offense 111th of 13710%
    14%55th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 79th of 13716%
    1.82100th of 137 Points per drive 50th of 1372.49
    43%83rd of 137 Plays that work against the defense 69th of 13741%
    44%115th of 137 Third downs allowed 79th of 13739%
    5%95th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 122nd of 1374%
    10%125th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 15th of 1373%
    13%104th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 101st of 13713%
    2.30106th of 137 Points per drive allowed 78th of 1371.96

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Rice's 5 games and UTSA's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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