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Has the ball Tulane 0
Loading Week 4, 2026
Has the ball Southern Miss 0
Field position TULANE SOUTHERN MISS 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Tulane0.00.00.00.00.0
Southern Miss0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Tulane Southern Miss

    Talking points

    This season

    29%of middle eight plays work
    Offense

    Own the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, Tulane's plays work 29% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 132nd of 137.

    19%of snaps wrecked by the defense
    Offense

    Keep the defense out of the backfield

    19% of Tulane's snaps end in a loss, a pass broken up or a turnover, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 130th of 137.

    10%of dropbacks end in a sack
    Offense

    Protect the quarterback

    K. Semonza has been sacked on 10% of dropbacks (12 of 119), against 5% for all teams.

    11%of snaps end in a havoc play
    Defense

    Make more plays behind the line

    Tulane wrecks 11% of opponents' snaps with a loss, a break-up or a takeaway, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 127th of 137.

    16%of snaps allowed are big plays
    Defense

    Stop the big play

    16% of opponents' snaps go for a big play (43 of 272: runs of 10 or more, passes of 20 or more), against 13% for all teams.

    All of Tulane's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: Tulane 77%, by about 10
    77% TulaneSouthern Miss 23%

    What Tulane needs to do

    62%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to B. Richardson

    Small sample

    K. Semonza to B. Richardson works 62% of the time (5 of 8 throws, 7 caught, 10.6 yards a throw). Southern Miss lets passes work 42% of the time (all teams 43%).

    10%of dropbacks end in a sack
    With the ball

    Keep K. Semonza clean

    K. Semonza has been sacked on 10% of dropbacks (12 of 119), and Southern Miss gets a sack on 7%. All teams: 5%.

    15%Southern Miss allows 32%
    With the ball

    Southern Miss takes away the pass on 2nd and long

    Tulane's passes on 2nd and long work 15% of the time (4 of 26), and Southern Miss holds them to 32% (9 of 28). All teams: 39%.

    67%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away K. Saunders

    Small sample

    E. Hampton to K. Saunders works 67% of the time (8 of 12 throws, 9 caught, 12.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 40%.

    29%Tulane allows on 2nd and medium
    On defense

    Win 2nd and medium against the run

    Southern Miss's runs on 2nd and medium work 44% of the time (4 of 9), and Tulane holds them to 29% (4 of 14). All teams: 50%.

    Tale of the tape

    Tulane Southern Miss
    34%134th of 137 Plays that work on offense 62nd of 13744%
    39%109th of 137 Runs that work 58th of 13747%
    29%133rd of 137 Passes that work 78th of 13742%
    38%94th of 137 Third downs converted 134th of 13726%
    12%75th of 137 Big plays on offense 90th of 13711%
    18%99th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 30th of 13713%
    1.63110th of 137 Points per drive 89th of 1371.98
    40%66th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 114th of 13746%
    48%127th of 137 Third downs allowed 121st of 13746%
    4%112th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 60th of 1377%
    10%128th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 64th of 1375%
    11%127th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 133rd of 13710%
    2.0082nd of 137 Points per drive allowed 132nd of 1372.83

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Tulane's 4 games and Southern Miss's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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