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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball UConn 0
Loading Week 11, 2026
Has the ball James Madison 0
Field position UCONN JAMES MADISON 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
UConn0.00.00.00.00.0
James Madison0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: James Madison 82%, by about 13
18% UConnJames Madison 82%

What UConn needs to do

64%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to X. Watson

Small sample

K. Osborne to X. Watson works 64% of the time (7 of 11 throws, 7 caught, 9.6 yards a throw). James Madison lets passes work 34% of the time (all teams 43%).

8%of dropbacks end in a sack
With the ball

Keep K. Osborne clean

K. Osborne has been sacked on 8% of dropbacks (12 of 142), and James Madison gets a sack on 8%. All teams: 5%.

40%James Madison allows 35%
With the ball

James Madison takes away the pass on 1st and long

UConn's passes on 1st and long work 40% of the time (22 of 55), and James Madison holds them to 35% (20 of 57). All teams: 49%.

71%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away C. Keller

Small sample

C. Coleman to C. Keller works 71% of the time (10 of 14 throws, 11 caught, 9.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 42%.

44%UConn allows on 3rd and medium
On defense

Shore up the pass defense on 3rd and medium

James Madison's passes on 3rd and medium work 62% of the time (5 of 8), and UConn has let them work 44% (4 of 9). All teams: 42%.

Tale of the tape

UConn James Madison
43%77th of 137 Plays that work on offense 42nd of 13746%
45%67th of 137 Runs that work 48th of 13747%
42%86th of 137 Passes that work 55th of 13745%
42%62nd of 137 Third downs converted 80th of 13739%
13%55th of 137 Big plays on offense 103rd of 13711%
16%81st of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 36th of 13713%
2.4951st of 137 Points per drive 30th of 1372.85
43%86th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 12th of 13733%
40%88th of 137 Third downs allowed 91st of 13740%
4%118th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 29th of 1378%
8%112th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 36th of 1374%
16%71st of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 44th of 13717%
1.8965th of 137 Points per drive allowed 16th of 1371.18

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using UConn's 5 games and James Madison's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    UConn James Madison

    Talking points

    This season

    8.8yards to go on an average third down
    Offense

    Win first down to shorten third

    Third downs average 8.8 yards to go, against 7.0 for all teams. First-down plays work 43% of the time (53 of 123).

    7.6yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for C. Bowers

    Runs by C. Bowers work 55% of the time (24 of 44, 7.6 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 34% (19 of 56).

    8%of dropbacks end in a sack
    Offense

    Protect the quarterback

    K. Osborne has been sacked on 8% of dropbacks (12 of 142), against 5% for all teams.

    50%of red zone plays work against it
    Defense

    Tighten up in the red zone

    Inside the 20, opponents' plays work 50% of the time against UConn, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 99th of 126.

    29%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 29% of the time, against 41% for all teams (16 of 56 plays).

    All of UConn's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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