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Has the ball Purdue 0
Loading Week 12, 2026
Has the ball Wisconsin 0
Field position PURDUE WISCONSIN 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Purdue0.00.00.00.00.0
Wisconsin0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Wisconsin 68%, by about 6
32% PurdueWisconsin 68%

What Purdue needs to do

16%Wisconsin allows 21%
With the ball

Wisconsin takes away the run on 2nd and long

Purdue's runs on 2nd and long work 16% of the time (3 of 19), and Wisconsin holds them to 21% (7 of 33). All teams: 31%.

75%Wisconsin allows 75%
With the ball

Run on 3rd and short

Purdue's runs on 3rd and short work 75% of the time (9 of 12), and Wisconsin lets them work 75% (9 of 12). All teams: 69%.

57%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away C. Brooks Jr.

Small sample

C. Joseph to C. Brooks Jr. works 57% of the time (8 of 14 throws, 8 caught, 10.1 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 41%.

56%Purdue allows on 3rd and short
On defense

Win 3rd and short against the run

Wisconsin's runs on 3rd and short work 38% of the time (3 of 8), and Purdue holds them to 56% (5 of 9). All teams: 69%.

Tale of the tape

Purdue Wisconsin
48%34th of 137 Plays that work on offense 118th of 13738%
41%101st of 137 Runs that work 128th of 13734%
54%12th of 137 Passes that work 73rd of 13743%
45%52nd of 137 Third downs converted 63rd of 13742%
10%107th of 137 Big plays on offense 78th of 13712%
16%81st of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 46th of 13714%
2.7635th of 137 Points per drive 91st of 1371.96
50%133rd of 137 Plays that work against the defense 20th of 13735%
53%135th of 137 Third downs allowed 21st of 13732%
5%90th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 120th of 1374%
6%86th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 2nd of 1371%
13%107th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 81st of 13715%
3.36137th of 137 Points per drive allowed 15th of 1371.18

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Purdue's 5 games and Wisconsin's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Purdue Wisconsin

    Talking points

    This season

    33%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, Purdue's plays work 33% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 113th of 132.

    58%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they run 48% of the time, but runs work 38% (23 of 60) and passes work 58% (38 of 65).

    45%of runs gain 4 or more
    Offense

    Give the backs a crease

    Only 45% of Purdue's runs gain 4 yards or more, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 111th of 137.

    3.36points per drive allowed
    Defense

    Get stops

    Opponents score 3.36 points per drive against Purdue, against 2.07 for all teams. That ranks 137th of 137.

    57%of middle eight plays work against it
    Defense

    Hold the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, opponents' plays work 57% of the time against Purdue, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 135th of 137.

    All of Purdue's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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