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Has the ball Michigan 0
Loading Week 12, 2026
Has the ball UCLA 0
Field position MICHIGAN UCLA 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Michigan0.00.00.00.00.0
UCLA0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: UCLA 61%, by about 4
39% MichiganUCLA 61%

What Michigan needs to do

62%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to J. Buchanan

B. Underwood to J. Buchanan works 62% of the time (24 of 39 throws, 24 caught, 11.4 yards a throw). UCLA lets passes work 35% of the time (all teams 43%).

44%UCLA allows 38%
With the ball

UCLA takes away the pass on 1st and long

Michigan's passes on 1st and long work 44% of the time (19 of 43), and UCLA holds them to 38% (18 of 47). All teams: 49%.

75%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away W. Knight

Small sample

N. Iamaleava to W. Knight works 75% of the time (6 of 8 throws, 7 caught, 10.5 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 35%.

26%Michigan allows on 2nd and long
On defense

Force UCLA into 2nd and long

UCLA's passes on 2nd and long work 25% of the time (6 of 24), and Michigan holds them to 26% (9 of 34). All teams: 39%.

Tale of the tape

Michigan UCLA
42%91st of 137 Plays that work on offense 11th of 13751%
40%108th of 137 Runs that work 1st of 13761%
45%47th of 137 Passes that work 103rd of 13738%
40%71st of 137 Third downs converted 15th of 13751%
8%131st of 137 Big plays on offense 2nd of 13718%
11%20th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 1st of 1377%
1.74104th of 137 Points per drive 8th of 1373.25
34%14th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 22nd of 13735%
33%38th of 137 Third downs allowed 38th of 13733%
8%31st of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 70th of 1376%
7%90th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 77th of 1376%
16%53rd of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 47th of 13717%
0.987th of 137 Points per drive allowed 46th of 1371.68

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Michigan's 5 games and UCLA's 4 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Michigan UCLA

    Talking points

    This season

    62%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to J. Buchanan

    B. Underwood to J. Buchanan works 62% of the time (24 of 39 throws, 24 caught, 11.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 38%. He gets 36% of the targets.

    42%of available yards gained
    Offense

    Finish what the drive starts

    Michigan gains 42% of the yards between its starting spot and the end zone, against 47% for all teams. That ranks 115th of 137.

    46%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 2nd & 7+

    On 2nd & 7+ they run 52% of the time, but runs work 27% (8 of 30) and passes work 46% (13 of 28).

    9%all teams 48%
    Defense

    Stopping the run in the red zone

    Small sample

    Opponents' runs in the red zone work 9% of the time, against 48% for all teams (1 of 11 plays).

    14%all teams 31%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 2nd and long

    Opponents' runs on 2nd and long (7 or more) work 14% of the time, against 31% for all teams (4 of 28 plays).

    All of Michigan's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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