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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball UCLA 0
Loading Week 11, 2026
Has the ball Illinois 0
Field position UCLA ILLINOIS 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
UCLA0.00.00.00.00.0
Illinois0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: UCLA 93%, by about 21
93% UCLAIllinois 7%

What UCLA needs to do

75%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to W. Knight

Small sample

N. Iamaleava to W. Knight works 75% of the time (6 of 8 throws, 7 caught, 10.5 yards a throw). Illinois lets passes work 50% of the time (all teams 43%).

53%Illinois allows 33%
With the ball

Run on 2nd and long

UCLA's runs on 2nd and long work 53% of the time (10 of 19), and Illinois lets them work 33% (8 of 24). All teams: 31%.

73%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away T. Robinson

Small sample

K. Houser to T. Robinson works 73% of the time (8 of 11 throws, 10 caught, 14.0 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 51%.

33%UCLA allows on 2nd and medium
On defense

Win 2nd and medium against the run

Illinois's runs on 2nd and medium work 50% of the time (6 of 12), and UCLA holds them to 33% (3 of 9). All teams: 50%.

Tale of the tape

UCLA Illinois
51%11th of 137 Plays that work on offense 17th of 13750%
61%1st of 137 Runs that work 56th of 13747%
38%103rd of 137 Passes that work 14th of 13753%
51%15th of 137 Third downs converted 42nd of 13745%
18%2nd of 137 Big plays on offense 82nd of 13712%
7%1st of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 14th of 13711%
3.258th of 137 Points per drive 23rd of 1373.00
35%22nd of 137 Plays that work against the defense 118th of 13746%
33%38th of 137 Third downs allowed 113th of 13743%
6%70th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 133rd of 1372%
6%77th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 26th of 1373%
17%47th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 124th of 13712%
1.6846th of 137 Points per drive allowed 127th of 1372.67

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using UCLA's 4 games and Illinois's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    UCLA Illinois

    Talking points

    This season

    75%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to W. Knight

    Small sample

    N. Iamaleava to W. Knight works 75% of the time (6 of 8 throws, 7 caught, 10.5 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 35%. He gets 9% of the targets.

    53%runs that work
    Offense

    Run it more on 2nd & 7+

    On 2nd & 7+ they throw 56% of the time, but passes work 25% (6 of 24) and runs work 53% (10 of 19).

    2 of 4third and fourth downs converted
    Offense

    S. Morgan on third down

    Small sample

    On third and fourth down, N. Iamaleava to S. Morgan has moved the chains 2 of 4 times (50%).

    55%of red zone plays work against it
    Defense

    Tighten up in the red zone

    Inside the 20, opponents' plays work 55% of the time against UCLA, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 118th of 126.

    38%all teams 49%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 1st and long

    Opponents' passes on 1st and long (7 or more) work 38% of the time, against 49% for all teams (18 of 47 plays).

    All of UCLA's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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