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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Minnesota 0
Loading Week 10, 2026
Has the ball UCLA 0
Field position MINNESOTA UCLA 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Minnesota0.00.00.00.00.0
UCLA0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: UCLA 84%, by about 13
16% MinnesotaUCLA 84%

What Minnesota needs to do

54%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to D. Taylor

Small sample

D. Lindsey to D. Taylor works 54% of the time (7 of 13 throws, 11 caught, 8.0 yards a throw). UCLA lets passes work 35% of the time (all teams 43%).

11%UCLA allows 20%
With the ball

UCLA takes away the run on 2nd and long

Minnesota's runs on 2nd and long work 11% of the time (2 of 19), and UCLA holds them to 20% (5 of 25). All teams: 31%.

75%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away W. Knight

Small sample

N. Iamaleava to W. Knight works 75% of the time (6 of 8 throws, 7 caught, 10.5 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 35%.

45%Minnesota allows on 2nd and long
On defense

Shore up the run defense on 2nd and long

UCLA's runs on 2nd and long work 53% of the time (10 of 19), and Minnesota has let them work 45% (9 of 20). All teams: 31%.

Tale of the tape

Minnesota UCLA
44%64th of 137 Plays that work on offense 11th of 13751%
42%90th of 137 Runs that work 1st of 13761%
45%51st of 137 Passes that work 103rd of 13738%
40%71st of 137 Third downs converted 15th of 13751%
7%135th of 137 Big plays on offense 2nd of 13718%
24%131st of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 1st of 1377%
1.9493rd of 137 Points per drive 8th of 1373.25
39%54th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 22nd of 13735%
33%38th of 137 Third downs allowed 38th of 13733%
11%7th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 70th of 1376%
2%10th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 77th of 1376%
23%3rd of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 47th of 13717%
1.5340th of 137 Points per drive allowed 46th of 1371.68

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Minnesota's 5 games and UCLA's 4 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Minnesota UCLA

    Talking points

    This season

    35%of runs gain 4 or more
    Offense

    Give the backs a crease

    Only 35% of Minnesota's runs gain 4 yards or more, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 137th of 137.

    22%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    Minnesota's plays work only 22% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 125th of 137.

    67%of deep throws work
    Offense

    Take more shots downfield

    Small sample

    Deep throws: 6 of 9 caught, working 67% of the time. Short throws: 91 of 133 caught, working 46%.

    57%of runs gain 4 or more
    Defense

    Close the creases

    57% of opponents' runs gain 4 yards or more against Minnesota, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 135th of 137.

    0%all teams 26%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 3rd and long

    Small sample

    Opponents' passes on 3rd and long (7 or more) work 0% of the time, against 26% for all teams (0 of 14 plays).

    All of Minnesota's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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