nextsnap
About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Iowa 0
Loading Week 9, 2026
Has the ball Wisconsin 0
Field position IOWA WISCONSIN 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Iowa0.00.00.00.00.0
Wisconsin0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Iowa 56%, by about 2
56% IowaWisconsin 44%

What Iowa needs to do

7.1yards a carry
With the ball

More carries for N. McNeil

Small sample

Runs by N. McNeil work 54% of the time (7 of 13, 7.1 yards a carry). Wisconsin lets runs work 36% of the time (all teams 45%).

7%Wisconsin allows 21%
With the ball

Wisconsin takes away the run on 2nd and long

Iowa's runs on 2nd and long work 7% of the time (1 of 15), and Wisconsin holds them to 21% (7 of 33). All teams: 31%.

57%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away C. Brooks Jr.

Small sample

C. Joseph to C. Brooks Jr. works 57% of the time (8 of 14 throws, 8 caught, 10.1 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 41%.

22%Iowa allows on 2nd and long
On defense

Force Wisconsin into 2nd and long

Wisconsin's runs on 2nd and long work 19% of the time (7 of 36), and Iowa holds them to 22% (6 of 27). All teams: 31%.

Tale of the tape

Iowa Wisconsin
44%75th of 137 Plays that work on offense 118th of 13738%
39%111th of 137 Runs that work 128th of 13734%
47%36th of 137 Passes that work 73rd of 13743%
43%56th of 137 Third downs converted 63rd of 13742%
9%119th of 137 Big plays on offense 78th of 13712%
12%28th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 46th of 13714%
2.3762nd of 137 Points per drive 91st of 1371.96
38%42nd of 137 Plays that work against the defense 20th of 13735%
36%57th of 137 Third downs allowed 21st of 13732%
7%45th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 120th of 1374%
3%31st of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 2nd of 1371%
15%75th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 81st of 13715%
1.2424th of 137 Points per drive allowed 15th of 1371.18

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Iowa's 5 games and Wisconsin's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Iowa Wisconsin

    Talking points

    This season

    58%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they run 48% of the time, but runs work 41% (23 of 56) and passes work 58% (35 of 60).

    27%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    Iowa's plays work only 27% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 106th of 137.

    46%of runs gain 4 or more
    Offense

    Give the backs a crease

    Only 46% of Iowa's runs gain 4 yards or more, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 104th of 137.

    75%of third and short converted against them
    Defense

    Get off the field on third and short

    Small sample

    Opponents convert third and short 75% of the time (9 of 12), against about 62% for all teams.

    32%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 32% of the time, against 41% for all teams (21 of 65 plays).

    All of Iowa's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    Next Snap just launched. If a page takes a moment to load the first time, give it a few seconds. It speeds right up after that.