nextsnap
About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Wisconsin 0
Loading Week 8, 2026
Has the ball USC 0
Field position WISCONSIN USC 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Wisconsin0.00.00.00.00.0
USC0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: USC 56%, by about 2
44% WisconsinUSC 56%

What Wisconsin needs to do

57%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to C. Brooks Jr.

Small sample

C. Joseph to C. Brooks Jr. works 57% of the time (8 of 14 throws, 8 caught, 10.1 yards a throw). USC lets passes work 41% of the time (all teams 43%).

38%USC allows 56%
With the ball

USC takes away the run on 3rd and short

Wisconsin's runs on 3rd and short work 38% of the time (3 of 8), and USC holds them to 56% (5 of 9). All teams: 69%.

38%USC allows 30%
With the ball

Throw on 3rd and long

Wisconsin's passes on 3rd and long work 38% of the time (8 of 21), and USC lets them work 30% (6 of 20). All teams: 26%.

78%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away T. Baker

Small sample

J. Maiava to T. Baker works 78% of the time (7 of 9 throws, 7 caught, 10.1 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 54%.

22%Wisconsin allows on 3rd and medium
On defense

Win 3rd and medium against the pass

USC's passes on 3rd and medium work 25% of the time (2 of 8), and Wisconsin holds them to 22% (4 of 18). All teams: 42%.

Tale of the tape

Wisconsin USC
38%118th of 137 Plays that work on offense 9th of 13752%
34%128th of 137 Runs that work 29th of 13749%
43%73rd of 137 Passes that work 4th of 13755%
42%63rd of 137 Third downs converted 25th of 13747%
12%78th of 137 Big plays on offense 45th of 13714%
14%46th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 77th of 13716%
1.9691st of 137 Points per drive 9th of 1373.24
35%20th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 81st of 13742%
32%21st of 137 Third downs allowed 49th of 13735%
4%120th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 96th of 1375%
1%2nd of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 17th of 1373%
15%81st of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 132nd of 13711%
1.1815th of 137 Points per drive allowed 117th of 1372.46

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Wisconsin's 5 games and USC's 6 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Wisconsin USC

    Talking points

    This season

    35%of middle eight plays work
    Offense

    Own the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, Wisconsin's plays work 35% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 121st of 137.

    48%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they run 58% of the time, but runs work 31% (20 of 65) and passes work 48% (23 of 48).

    35%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, Wisconsin's plays work 35% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 103rd of 132.

    10%of opponents' runs stuffed
    Defense

    Win more first contact

    Wisconsin stuffs only 10% of opponents' runs for no gain, against 16% for all teams. That ranks 133rd of 137.

    30%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 30% of the time, against 41% for all teams (19 of 64 plays).

    All of Wisconsin's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    Next Snap just launched. If a page takes a moment to load the first time, give it a few seconds. It speeds right up after that.