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Has the ball Wisconsin 0
Loading Week 5, 2026
Has the ball Michigan State 0
Field position WISCONSIN MICHIGAN STATE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Wisconsin0.00.00.00.00.0
Michigan State0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Wisconsin Michigan State

    Talking points

    This season

    35%of middle eight plays work
    Offense

    Own the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, Wisconsin's plays work 35% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 121st of 137.

    48%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they run 58% of the time, but runs work 31% (20 of 65) and passes work 48% (23 of 48).

    35%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, Wisconsin's plays work 35% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 103rd of 132.

    10%of opponents' runs stuffed
    Defense

    Win more first contact

    Wisconsin stuffs only 10% of opponents' runs for no gain, against 16% for all teams. That ranks 133rd of 137.

    30%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 30% of the time, against 41% for all teams (19 of 64 plays).

    All of Wisconsin's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: Wisconsin 75%, by about 9
    75% WisconsinMichigan State 25%

    What Wisconsin needs to do

    57%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to C. Brooks Jr.

    Small sample

    C. Joseph to C. Brooks Jr. works 57% of the time (8 of 14 throws, 8 caught, 10.1 yards a throw). Michigan State lets passes work 38% of the time (all teams 43%).

    19%Michigan State allows 21%
    With the ball

    Michigan State takes away the run on 2nd and long

    Wisconsin's runs on 2nd and long work 19% of the time (7 of 36), and Michigan State holds them to 21% (6 of 29). All teams: 31%.

    38%Michigan State allows 26%
    With the ball

    Throw on 3rd and long

    Wisconsin's passes on 3rd and long work 38% of the time (8 of 21), and Michigan State lets them work 26% (5 of 19). All teams: 26%.

    50%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away R. Bullard Jr.

    A. Milivojevic to R. Bullard Jr. works 50% of the time (13 of 26 throws, 15 caught, 7.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 40%.

    10%of Michigan State dropbacks end in a sack
    On defense

    Get to the quarterback

    Michigan State's quarterback has been sacked on 10% of dropbacks (16 of 154). Wisconsin gets a sack on 4%. All teams: 5%.

    Tale of the tape

    Wisconsin Michigan State
    38%118th of 137 Plays that work on offense 89th of 13742%
    34%128th of 137 Runs that work 86th of 13743%
    43%73rd of 137 Passes that work 85th of 13742%
    42%63rd of 137 Third downs converted 71st of 13740%
    12%78th of 137 Big plays on offense 137th of 1377%
    14%46th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 92nd of 13717%
    1.9691st of 137 Points per drive 102nd of 1371.79
    35%20th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 68th of 13741%
    32%21st of 137 Third downs allowed 110th of 13742%
    4%120th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 79th of 1376%
    1%2nd of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 130th of 13710%
    15%81st of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 84th of 13714%
    1.1815th of 137 Points per drive allowed 105th of 1372.30

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Wisconsin's 5 games and Michigan State's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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