nextsnap
About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Minnesota 0
Loading Week 5, 2026
Has the ball Michigan 0
Field position MINNESOTA MICHIGAN 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Minnesota0.00.00.00.00.0
Michigan0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Minnesota Michigan

    Talking points

    This season

    35%of runs gain 4 or more
    Offense

    Give the backs a crease

    Only 35% of Minnesota's runs gain 4 yards or more, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 138th of 138.

    22%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    Minnesota's plays work only 22% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 124th of 138.

    67%of deep throws work
    Offense

    Take more shots downfield

    Small sample

    Deep throws: 6 of 9 caught, working 67% of the time. Short throws: 91 of 133 caught, working 46%.

    57%of runs gain 4 or more
    Defense

    Close the creases

    57% of opponents' runs gain 4 yards or more against Minnesota, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 136th of 138.

    0%all teams 26%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 3rd and long

    Small sample

    Opponents' passes on 3rd and long (7 or more) work 0% of the time, against 26% for all teams (0 of 14 plays).

    All of Minnesota's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: Michigan 72%, by about 8
    28% MinnesotaMichigan 72%

    What Minnesota needs to do

    54%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to D. Taylor

    Small sample

    D. Lindsey to D. Taylor works 54% of the time (7 of 13 throws, 11 caught, 8.0 yards a throw). Michigan lets passes work 35% of the time (all teams 43%).

    11%Michigan allows 14%
    With the ball

    Michigan takes away the run on 2nd and long

    Minnesota's runs on 2nd and long work 11% of the time (2 of 19), and Michigan holds them to 14% (4 of 28). All teams: 31%.

    62%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away J. Buchanan

    B. Underwood to J. Buchanan works 62% of the time (24 of 39 throws, 24 caught, 11.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 38%.

    0%Minnesota allows on 3rd and long
    On defense

    Force Michigan into 3rd and long

    Michigan's passes on 3rd and long work 30% of the time (6 of 20), and Minnesota holds them to 0% (0 of 14). All teams: 26%.

    Tale of the tape

    Minnesota Michigan
    44%63rd of 138 Plays that work on offense 91st of 13842%
    42%92nd of 138 Runs that work 109th of 13840%
    45%51st of 138 Passes that work 47th of 13845%
    40%70th of 138 Third downs converted 70th of 13840%
    7%135th of 138 Big plays on offense 130th of 1388%
    24%130th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 20th of 13811%
    1.9493rd of 138 Points per drive 104th of 1381.74
    39%54th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 13th of 13834%
    33%38th of 138 Third downs allowed 38th of 13833%
    11%6th of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 32nd of 1388%
    2%10th of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 90th of 1387%
    23%3rd of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 52nd of 13816%
    1.5339th of 138 Points per drive allowed 6th of 1380.98

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Minnesota's 5 games and Michigan's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

    Next Snap just launched. If a page takes a moment to load the first time, give it a few seconds. It speeds right up after that.