nextsnap
About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball California 0
Loading Week 13, 2026
Has the ball Pittsburgh 0
Field position CALIFORNIA PITTSBURGH 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
California0.00.00.00.00.0
Pittsburgh0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Pittsburgh 91%, by about 19
9% CaliforniaPittsburgh 91%

What California needs to do

38%Pittsburgh allows 40%
With the ball

Pittsburgh takes away the run on 2nd and short

California's runs on 2nd and short work 38% of the time (3 of 8), and Pittsburgh holds them to 40% (4 of 10). All teams: 68%.

53%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to A. Mohammed

J. Sagapolutele to A. Mohammed works 53% of the time (10 of 19 throws, 17 caught, 8.8 yards a throw). Pittsburgh lets passes work 34% of the time (all teams 43%).

75%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away B. Yates

Small sample

M. Heintschel to B. Yates works 75% of the time (9 of 12 throws, 9 caught, 12.3 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 39%.

92%California allows on 3rd and short
On defense

Shore up the run defense on 3rd and short

Pittsburgh's runs on 3rd and short work 67% of the time (8 of 12), and California has let them work 92% (11 of 12). All teams: 69%.

Tale of the tape

California Pittsburgh
38%121st of 137 Plays that work on offense 69th of 13744%
37%119th of 137 Runs that work 64th of 13746%
38%109th of 137 Passes that work 81st of 13742%
35%105th of 137 Third downs converted 31st of 13746%
9%121st of 137 Big plays on offense 55th of 13713%
19%112th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 90th of 13717%
1.9096th of 137 Points per drive 44th of 1372.65
36%30th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 10th of 13733%
39%82nd of 137 Third downs allowed 25th of 13731%
6%66th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 87th of 1375%
4%46th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 27th of 1373%
13%111th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 70th of 13716%
2.24101st of 137 Points per drive allowed 27th of 1371.27

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using California's 5 games and Pittsburgh's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    California Pittsburgh

    Talking points

    This season

    43%of runs gain 4 or more
    Offense

    Give the backs a crease

    Only 43% of California's runs gain 4 yards or more, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 120th of 137.

    36%of middle eight plays work
    Offense

    Own the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, California's plays work 36% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 116th of 137.

    53%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to A. Mohammed

    J. Sagapolutele to A. Mohammed works 53% of the time (10 of 19 throws, 17 caught, 8.8 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 36%. He gets 10% of the targets.

    11%of opponents' runs stuffed
    Defense

    Win more first contact

    California stuffs only 11% of opponents' runs for no gain, against 16% for all teams. That ranks 127th of 137.

    13%of snaps end in a havoc play
    Defense

    Make more plays behind the line

    California wrecks 13% of opponents' snaps with a loss, a break-up or a takeaway, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 111th of 137.

    All of California's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    Next Snap just launched. If a page takes a moment to load the first time, give it a few seconds. It speeds right up after that.