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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Miami 0
Loading Week 13, 2026
Has the ball Boston College 0
Field position MIAMI BOSTON COLLEGE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Miami0.00.00.00.00.0
Boston College0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Miami 98%, by about 33
98% MiamiBoston College 2%

What Miami needs to do

77%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to D. Upshaw

Small sample

D. Mensah to D. Upshaw works 77% of the time (10 of 13 throws, 12 caught, 9.6 yards a throw). Boston College lets passes work 42% of the time (all teams 43%).

67%Boston College allows 46%
With the ball

Throw on 3rd and medium

Miami's passes on 3rd and medium work 67% of the time (10 of 15), and Boston College lets them work 46% (6 of 13). All teams: 42%.

64%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away J. Montague Jr.

Small sample

M. McKenzie to J. Montague Jr. works 64% of the time (7 of 11 throws, 7 caught, 10.7 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 31%.

9%of Boston College dropbacks end in a sack
On defense

Get to the quarterback

Boston College's quarterback has been sacked on 9% of dropbacks (14 of 152). Miami gets a sack on 8%. All teams: 5%.

Tale of the tape

Miami Boston College
58%1st of 137 Plays that work on offense 110th of 13740%
55%6th of 137 Runs that work 62nd of 13746%
61%1st of 137 Passes that work 129th of 13734%
51%13th of 137 Third downs converted 114th of 13734%
15%19th of 137 Big plays on offense 26th of 13715%
8%3rd of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 123rd of 13722%
3.801st of 137 Points per drive 119th of 1371.52
37%37th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 56th of 13740%
33%34th of 137 Third downs allowed 90th of 13740%
8%32nd of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 40th of 1378%
4%44th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 119th of 1379%
15%77th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 42nd of 13717%
1.0510th of 137 Points per drive allowed 71st of 1371.95

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Miami's 5 games and Boston College's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Miami Boston College

    Talking points

    This season

    68%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they run 57% of the time, but runs work 52% (32 of 62) and passes work 68% (32 of 47).

    77%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to D. Upshaw

    Small sample

    D. Mensah to D. Upshaw works 77% of the time (10 of 13 throws, 12 caught, 9.6 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 60%. He gets 11% of the targets.

    6 of 7third and fourth downs converted
    Offense

    M. Toney on third down

    Small sample

    On third and fourth down, D. Mensah to M. Toney has moved the chains 6 of 7 times (86%).

    26%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 26% of the time, against 41% for all teams (9 of 34 plays).

    31%all teams 51%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 2nd and medium

    Small sample

    Opponents' passes on 2nd and medium (4-6) work 31% of the time, against 51% for all teams (4 of 13 plays).

    All of Miami's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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