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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Notre Dame 0
Loading Week 11, 2026
Has the ball Boston College 0
Field position NOTRE DAME BOSTON COLLEGE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Notre Dame0.00.00.00.00.0
Boston College0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Notre Dame 99%, by about 39
99% Notre DameBoston College 1%

What Notre Dame needs to do

73%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to M. Gilbert

C. Carr to M. Gilbert works 73% of the time (16 of 22 throws, 17 caught, 15.0 yards a throw). Boston College lets passes work 42% of the time (all teams 43%).

93%Boston College allows 67%
With the ball

Run on 2nd and short

Notre Dame's runs on 2nd and short work 93% of the time (14 of 15), and Boston College lets them work 67% (6 of 9). All teams: 68%.

60%Boston College allows 56%
With the ball

Boston College takes away the run on 3rd and short

Notre Dame's runs on 3rd and short work 60% of the time (6 of 10), and Boston College holds them to 56% (9 of 16). All teams: 69%.

64%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away J. Montague Jr.

Small sample

M. McKenzie to J. Montague Jr. works 64% of the time (7 of 11 throws, 7 caught, 10.7 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 31%.

11%Notre Dame allows on 3rd and medium
On defense

Win 3rd and medium against the pass

Boston College's passes on 3rd and medium work 22% of the time (2 of 9), and Notre Dame holds them to 11% (1 of 9). All teams: 42%.

Tale of the tape

Notre Dame Boston College
55%3rd of 138 Plays that work on offense 111th of 13840%
56%5th of 138 Runs that work 60th of 13846%
55%7th of 138 Passes that work 130th of 13834%
38%91st of 138 Third downs converted 115th of 13834%
11%92nd of 138 Big plays on offense 26th of 13815%
8%5th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 123rd of 13822%
3.485th of 138 Points per drive 120th of 1381.52
33%8th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 56th of 13840%
39%62nd of 138 Third downs allowed 90th of 13840%
10%19th of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 41st of 1388%
2%7th of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 120th of 1389%
22%5th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 41st of 13817%
1.059th of 138 Points per drive allowed 71st of 1381.95

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Notre Dame's 5 games and Boston College's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Notre Dame Boston College

    Talking points

    This season

    4.9yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for N. James Jr.

    Runs by N. James Jr. work 67% of the time (35 of 52, 4.9 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 46% (37 of 80).

    24%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    Notre Dame's plays work only 24% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 120th of 138.

    73%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to M. Gilbert

    C. Carr to M. Gilbert works 73% of the time (16 of 22 throws, 17 caught, 15.0 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 51%. He gets 20% of the targets.

    70%of third and short converted against them
    Defense

    Get off the field on third and short

    Small sample

    Opponents convert third and short 70% of the time (7 of 10), against about 62% for all teams.

    16%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 16% of the time, against 41% for all teams (8 of 49 plays).

    All of Notre Dame's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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