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Has the ball California 0
Loading Week 7, 2026
Has the ball Wake Forest 0
Field position CALIFORNIA WAKE FOREST 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
California0.00.00.00.00.0
Wake Forest0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Wake Forest 86%, by about 15
14% CaliforniaWake Forest 86%

What California needs to do

53%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to A. Mohammed

J. Sagapolutele to A. Mohammed works 53% of the time (10 of 19 throws, 17 caught, 8.8 yards a throw). Wake Forest lets passes work 49% of the time (all teams 43%).

38%Wake Forest allows 67%
With the ball

Wake Forest takes away the run on 2nd and short

California's runs on 2nd and short work 38% of the time (3 of 8), and Wake Forest holds them to 67% (8 of 12). All teams: 68%.

67%Wake Forest allows 62%
With the ball

Throw on 2nd and medium

California's passes on 2nd and medium work 67% of the time (6 of 9), and Wake Forest lets them work 62% (8 of 13). All teams: 51%.

59%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away C. Hernandez

G. Lopez to C. Hernandez works 59% of the time (30 of 51 throws, 37 caught, 11.8 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 42%.

36%California allows on 2nd and medium
On defense

Win 2nd and medium against the run

Wake Forest's runs on 2nd and medium work 43% of the time (6 of 14), and California holds them to 36% (4 of 11). All teams: 50%.

Tale of the tape

California Wake Forest
38%121st of 137 Plays that work on offense 31st of 13748%
37%119th of 137 Runs that work 21st of 13750%
38%109th of 137 Passes that work 34th of 13747%
35%105th of 137 Third downs converted 37th of 13745%
9%121st of 137 Big plays on offense 79th of 13712%
19%112th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 22nd of 13712%
1.9096th of 137 Points per drive 12th of 1373.18
36%30th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 98th of 13744%
39%82nd of 137 Third downs allowed 98th of 13741%
6%66th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 42nd of 1378%
4%46th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 78th of 1376%
13%111th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 93rd of 13714%
2.24101st of 137 Points per drive allowed 82nd of 1372.00

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using California's 5 games and Wake Forest's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    California Wake Forest

    Talking points

    This season

    43%of runs gain 4 or more
    Offense

    Give the backs a crease

    Only 43% of California's runs gain 4 yards or more, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 120th of 137.

    36%of middle eight plays work
    Offense

    Own the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, California's plays work 36% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 116th of 137.

    53%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to A. Mohammed

    J. Sagapolutele to A. Mohammed works 53% of the time (10 of 19 throws, 17 caught, 8.8 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 36%. He gets 10% of the targets.

    11%of opponents' runs stuffed
    Defense

    Win more first contact

    California stuffs only 11% of opponents' runs for no gain, against 16% for all teams. That ranks 127th of 137.

    13%of snaps end in a havoc play
    Defense

    Make more plays behind the line

    California wrecks 13% of opponents' snaps with a loss, a break-up or a takeaway, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 111th of 137.

    All of California's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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