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Has the ball Florida State 0
Loading Week 5, 2026
Has the ball Virginia 0
Field position FLORIDA STATE VIRGINIA 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Florida State0.00.00.00.00.0
Virginia0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Florida State Virginia

    Talking points

    This season

    8%of dropbacks end in a sack
    Offense

    Protect the quarterback

    A. Daniels has been sacked on 8% of dropbacks (10 of 125), against 5% for all teams.

    56%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to M. Danzy

    A. Daniels to M. Danzy works 56% of the time (9 of 16 throws, 15 caught, 15.2 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 40%. He gets 16% of the targets.

    60%quarterback runs that work
    Offense

    A. Daniels's legs are the run game

    A. Daniels's runs work 60% of the time (26 of 43). Handoffs work 43% (51 of 119).

    49%of middle eight plays work against it
    Defense

    Hold the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, opponents' plays work 49% of the time against Florida State, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 112th of 138.

    73%of third and short converted against them
    Defense

    Get off the field on third and short

    Small sample

    Opponents convert third and short 73% of the time (8 of 11), against about 62% for all teams.

    All of Florida State's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: Florida State 54%, by about 2
    54% Florida StateVirginia 46%

    What Florida State needs to do

    56%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to M. Danzy

    A. Daniels to M. Danzy works 56% of the time (9 of 16 throws, 15 caught, 15.2 yards a throw). Virginia lets passes work 37% of the time (all teams 43%).

    8%of dropbacks end in a sack
    With the ball

    Keep A. Daniels clean

    A. Daniels has been sacked on 8% of dropbacks (10 of 125), and Virginia gets a sack on 10%. All teams: 5%.

    75%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away D. Twitty

    Small sample

    B. Pribula to D. Twitty works 75% of the time (6 of 8 throws, 7 caught, 7.8 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 46%.

    11%of Virginia dropbacks end in a sack
    On defense

    Get to the quarterback

    Virginia's quarterback has been sacked on 11% of dropbacks (13 of 123). Florida State gets a sack on 6%. All teams: 5%.

    Tale of the tape

    Florida State Virginia
    45%49th of 138 Plays that work on offense 28th of 13848%
    48%42nd of 138 Runs that work 28th of 13849%
    42%76th of 138 Passes that work 33rd of 13848%
    44%45th of 138 Third downs converted 133rd of 13828%
    17%7th of 138 Big plays on offense 67th of 13812%
    12%28th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 13th of 13811%
    3.1811th of 138 Points per drive 59th of 1382.40
    43%95th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 59th of 13840%
    40%93rd of 138 Third downs allowed 78th of 13838%
    6%72nd of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 18th of 13810%
    8%108th of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 132nd of 13811%
    14%83rd of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 69th of 13816%
    2.1294th of 138 Points per drive allowed 64th of 1381.89

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Florida State's 5 games and Virginia's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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