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Has the ball UNLV 0
Loading Week 5, 2026
Has the ball California 0
Field position UNLV CALIFORNIA 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
UNLV0.00.00.00.00.0
California0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    UNLV California

    Talking points

    This season

    22%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    UNLV's plays work only 22% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 127th of 137.

    9%of dropbacks end in a sack
    Offense

    Protect the quarterback

    J. Arnold has been sacked on 9% of dropbacks (13 of 140), against 5% for all teams.

    62%of deep throws work
    Offense

    Take more shots downfield

    Deep throws: 10 of 16 caught, working 62% of the time. Short throws: 64 of 109 caught, working 39%.

    56%of runs gain 4 or more
    Defense

    Close the creases

    56% of opponents' runs gain 4 yards or more against UNLV, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 131st of 137.

    12%all teams 38%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass in the red zone

    Opponents' passes in the red zone work 12% of the time, against 38% for all teams (3 of 24 plays).

    All of UNLV's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: UNLV 70%, by about 7
    70% UNLVCalifornia 30%

    What UNLV needs to do

    55%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to K. McGee

    Small sample

    J. Arnold to K. McGee works 55% of the time (6 of 11 throws, 8 caught, 17.1 yards a throw). California lets passes work 32% of the time (all teams 43%).

    9%of dropbacks end in a sack
    With the ball

    Keep J. Arnold clean

    J. Arnold has been sacked on 9% of dropbacks (13 of 140), and California gets a sack on 6%. All teams: 5%.

    75%California allows 92%
    With the ball

    Run on 3rd and short

    UNLV's runs on 3rd and short work 75% of the time (9 of 12), and California lets them work 92% (11 of 12). All teams: 69%.

    53%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away A. Mohammed

    J. Sagapolutele to A. Mohammed works 53% of the time (10 of 19 throws, 17 caught, 8.8 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 36%.

    38%UNLV allows on 3rd and short
    On defense

    Win 3rd and short against the pass

    California's passes on 3rd and short work 33% of the time (3 of 9), and UNLV holds them to 38% (3 of 8). All teams: 55%.

    Tale of the tape

    UNLV California
    37%125th of 137 Plays that work on offense 121st of 13738%
    36%123rd of 137 Runs that work 119th of 13737%
    38%106th of 137 Passes that work 109th of 13738%
    40%76th of 137 Third downs converted 105th of 13735%
    13%58th of 137 Big plays on offense 121st of 1379%
    13%40th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 112th of 13719%
    1.9592nd of 137 Points per drive 96th of 1371.90
    39%50th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 30th of 13736%
    38%75th of 137 Third downs allowed 82nd of 13739%
    8%44th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 66th of 1376%
    9%120th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 46th of 1374%
    18%28th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 111th of 13713%
    1.7249th of 137 Points per drive allowed 101st of 1372.24

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using UNLV's 5 games and California's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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