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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball SMU 0
Loading Week 5, 2026
Has the ball Boston College 0
Field position SMU BOSTON COLLEGE 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
SMU0.00.00.00.00.0
Boston College0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    SMU Boston College

    Talking points

    This season

    61%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they run 51% of the time, but runs work 39% (28 of 72) and passes work 61% (42 of 69).

    43%of runs gain 4 or more
    Offense

    Give the backs a crease

    Only 43% of SMU's runs gain 4 yards or more, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 119th of 137.

    71%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to J. Cooper

    K. Jennings to J. Cooper works 71% of the time (17 of 24 throws, 19 caught, 12.6 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 51%. He gets 17% of the targets.

    33%all teams 68%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 2nd and short

    Opponents' runs on 2nd and short (1-3 yards) work 33% of the time, against 68% for all teams (5 of 15 plays).

    26%all teams 39%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 2nd and long

    Opponents' passes on 2nd and long (7 or more) work 26% of the time, against 39% for all teams (10 of 39 plays).

    All of SMU's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: SMU 90%, by about 18
    90% SMUBoston College 10%

    What SMU needs to do

    71%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to J. Cooper

    K. Jennings to J. Cooper works 71% of the time (17 of 24 throws, 19 caught, 12.6 yards a throw). Boston College lets passes work 42% of the time (all teams 43%).

    42%Boston College allows 46%
    With the ball

    Throw on 2nd and long

    SMU's passes on 2nd and long work 42% of the time (16 of 38), and Boston College lets them work 46% (19 of 41). All teams: 39%.

    39%Boston College allows 32%
    With the ball

    Boston College takes away the run on 1st and long

    SMU's runs on 1st and long work 39% of the time (28 of 72), and Boston College holds them to 32% (25 of 77). All teams: 41%.

    64%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away J. Montague Jr.

    Small sample

    M. McKenzie to J. Montague Jr. works 64% of the time (7 of 11 throws, 7 caught, 10.7 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 31%.

    33%SMU allows on 2nd and short
    On defense

    Win 2nd and short against the run

    Boston College's runs on 2nd and short work 58% of the time (7 of 12), and SMU holds them to 33% (5 of 15). All teams: 68%.

    Tale of the tape

    SMU Boston College
    50%18th of 137 Plays that work on offense 110th of 13740%
    45%69th of 137 Runs that work 62nd of 13746%
    54%9th of 137 Passes that work 129th of 13734%
    53%10th of 137 Third downs converted 114th of 13734%
    14%48th of 137 Big plays on offense 26th of 13715%
    19%109th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 123rd of 13722%
    2.7436th of 137 Points per drive 119th of 1371.52
    38%38th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 56th of 13740%
    29%9th of 137 Third downs allowed 90th of 13740%
    11%11th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 40th of 1378%
    4%37th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 119th of 1379%
    19%21st of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 42nd of 13717%
    1.9068th of 137 Points per drive allowed 71st of 1371.95

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using SMU's 5 games and Boston College's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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